$BTC

Take a serious look at the chart.
If historical patterns continue, Bitcoin could see a deep correction — even toward the $35,000 region in the coming weeks. The real question is: are you prepared if that scenario plays out?

Over the years, I’ve built my own framework to track market cycles using two core dimensions:
👉 TIME + PRICE

Most traders focus only on price.
That’s exactly why they miss the best opportunities again and again.

⏳ The TIME Axis

I study the number of days from each cycle’s ATH to its final low after a halving:

  • 2012 Cycle: 406 days

  • 2016 Cycle: 363 days

  • 2020 Cycle: 376 days

  • 2024 Cycle: Still developing

These numbers are surprisingly consistent.
If this cycle follows a similar rhythm, the highest-probability window for a major bottom could be October–November 2026.

That becomes my time target.
When that window arrives, I buy — regardless of short-term price action.
Because timing protects you from chasing the crowd.

💰 The PRICE Axis

I don’t wait for perfect levels.

I started accumulating once Bitcoin entered the $60,000 zone — even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet. Why? Because waiting for a “perfect price” is how traders miss entire market moves.

Retail often says:
“I’ll buy only if price reaches X.”
But if it never does, they stay on the sidelines.

My philosophy is simple:

  • If price offers value → I start buying.

  • If historical timing aligns → I buy regardless of price.

📌 My Current Framework

When Bitcoin was trading near $114,000 back in October, I openly said I’d be a strong buyer around $60,000. Many dismissed that idea. I ignored the noise and stayed with the plan — and now we’re in that zone.

However, downside risk still exists.
That’s why the TIME axis remains critical.

BTC
BTC
64,847.38
-4.03%

My Strategy:

1️⃣ TIME Trigger
Oct–Nov 2026 → Strong BUY, regardless of price.

2️⃣ PRICE Trigger
Below $60,000 → Strong BUY, regardless of timing.

If either condition hits, I execute structured daily accumulation.

📊 On-Chain Signal I Watch: NUPL

Net Unrealized Profit/Loss has historically identified major bottoms:

  • 2018 Bear Market

  • COVID Crash

  • 2022 Cycle Low

Right now, we’re not yet in the historical “bottom zone.”
Because of that, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bitcoin revisit the $45K–$50K region before the next true long-term base forms.

🧠 Final Thoughts

Markets look chaotic in the middle of every cycle — but this phase eventually passes. My focus remains on structure, probability, and disciplined execution.

I’ve spent over a decade studying macro cycles and market behavior, and I continue to share my real-time analysis as conditions evolve.

Stay alert. The biggest signals often appear before the headlines catch up.
$BTC

ETH
ETH
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-4.67%

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