Recent analysis within the cryptocurrency space suggests that Bitcoin could be heading for a bear market as soon as October 2025, with a potential bottom target of $50,000. This forecast is primarily based on cyclical patterns observed in Bitcoin's price history, though other analysts offer varying perspectives on the timing and severity of a potential downturn.
The most direct prediction for an October bear market comes from Joao Wedson, founder of the crypto analytics platform Alphractal. Wedson's analysis, based on a "Repetition Fractal Cycle," indicates that the current bull run may conclude around that time, leading to a significant price correction. His model suggests a subsequent market bottom of approximately $50,000.
This sentiment is echoed by other market observers who point to historical Bitcoin cycles. Several analyses highlight a recurring 35-month rhythm or a roughly 1,060-day period from a market bottom to a peak. If these patterns hold, the current cycle, which began in late 2022, could indeed be nearing its zenith in the latter part of 2025. One analyst has gone as far as to advise investors to "sell everything in October 2025" in anticipation of a prolonged bear market.
However, not all analyses align perfectly with the $50,000 figure. Some market commentators, while also foreseeing a future bear market, project a higher bottom. Their models indicate a potential floor for Bitcoin in the range of $60,000 to $80,000 during the next significant downturn.
It is crucial to note that these predictions are based on historical data and technical analysis, which are not guarantees of future performance. The cryptocurrency market is known for its high volatility, and unforeseen economic or regulatory events can significantly impact price movements, potentially disrupting these cyclical patterns. As with all financial forecasts, investors are advised to conduct their own research and exercise caution.
