The $XRP /USDC pair is currently trading around 1.4206, showing mild intraday strength (+0.69%), but the broader structure on the 1D timeframe still reflects a dominant downtrend.
Let’s break down what the chart is telling us.
🔍 Market Structure Overview (1D Timeframe)
Current Price: 1.4206
24h High: 1.4300
24h Low: 1.3814
Recent Major Low: 1.1173
The chart shows a clear bearish structure from the 2.14 zone down toward 1.11. Price is currently attempting stabilization after a strong selloff.
📊 Moving Average Analysis
The moving averages give us important directional clues:
MA(7): 1.4559
MA(25): 1.5200
MA(99): 1.9020
What This Means:
✅ Price is trading below MA(25) and MA(99) → Strong bearish macro bias.
⚠️ MA(7) recently flattened → Possible short-term consolidation.
📉 MA(99) trending downward → Long-term bearish pressure remains intact.
Until price reclaims and closes above MA(25), bulls remain cautious.
🕯️ Candlestick Behavior
After the sharp drop to 1.1173, we saw:
A strong green recovery candle (bullish reaction)
Followed by consolidation and smaller candles
Recent rejection wick near the 1.51 area
This suggests:
Buyers defended the 1.11–1.20 zone
Sellers are still active near 1.50 resistance
Market is currently in a compression phase.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 Support Zones:
1.38 (short-term support)
1.29 (minor support)
1.11 (major demand zone)
🔴 Resistance Zones:
1.51 (short-term resistance)
1.74 (mid-level resistance)
1.96+ (macro resistance near MA99)
A daily close above 1.51 could open room toward 1.74.
Failure to hold 1.38 may revisit 1.29.
🧠 Possible Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario
Break and close above 1.51
Volume expansion
MA(7) crossing above MA(25)
Target: 1.74 → 1.96
📉 Bearish Scenario
Rejection at 1.45–1.51
Breakdown below 1.38
Target: 1.29 → 1.11 retest
⚡ Market Sentiment
The structure still favors bears overall, but volatility compression suggests a breakout is approaching. Traders should wait for confirmation rather than predicting direction.
💡 Strategy Tip
Avoid over-leveraging in consolidation zones.
Wait for daily candle confirmation.
Always use stop-loss.
Manage risk strictly (1–2% per trade).
🏁 Final Thoughts
XRP is currently in a recovery attempt within a broader downtrend. The next major move will likely come from a break of either 1.51 resistance or 1.38 support.
Patience > Prediction.