New prediction market data from Polymarket shows a notable shift in Bitcoin$BTC outlook for 2025. As of November 16, the probability of $BTC dropping below $90,000 next year has eased to 59%, down from 70% just two days earlier — suggesting slightly improved market sentiment.
Meanwhile, the chance of Bitcoin falling under $80,000 currently sits at 23%, while bulls have a 21% probability for $NEO to break above $120,000 in 2025.
The prediction pool continues to attract strong activity, with total trading volume now crossing $56 million, reflecting growing interest in forecasting Bitcoin’s long-term price path.

