12.26 Gold Evening Strategy: Follow the Trend, Not Blind Moves, Risk Management First

Today's 12.26 Gold market is truly a mix of strength and minor turbulence! As of now, London Gold is hovering around 4515, having reached a new high of 4531 during the day before pulling back to 4474—classic high-level consolidation. After a rise of over 70% this year, gold is on track to break the annual gain record since 1979, giving bulls strong confidence, but profit-taking pressure is also building, making volatility inevitable.

Let’s clarify the core logic for tonight’s market: the overall trend remains bullish, supported by three key pillars—Fed rate cut expectations, ongoing geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia, Middle East), and central bank gold accumulation. However, tonight brings a crucial factor: the Christmas holiday just ended, and market liquidity is still recovering, increasing the risk of sharp 'short squeeze' or 'long liquidation' swings. Avoid chasing emotions.

Key points for tonight’s trading—simple enough for beginners:

1. Don’t rush entry: The 20:00–24:00 window is the peak volatility period, especially after the US stock market opens at 21:30, which may trigger pulse-like moves. Avoid the first 15 minutes after opening; wait for confirmed candlestick close before acting. Don’t get caught by false breakouts.

2. Key levels to watch: Support first targets 4500, strong support at 4460–4470. Resistance first looks at the previous highs of 4526–4531. Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to 4500–4506 to go long, place stop-loss below 4483, and target 4535–4540. Aggressive traders must wait for a confirmed close above 4480 before entering—don’t force trades in overbought zones.

3. Short positions must be extremely cautious: Unless gold breaks below the key support of 4470, shorting against the trend is like 'hitting an egg with a stone'—high risk of being trapped by the trend.

4. Never cross the risk management底线: Keep position size under 20%, always use stop-loss and take-profit, and ensure single trade risk stays under 1% of account equity. Avoid holding positions overnight—close trades before 24:00 to avoid gaps caused by unexpected news during the early hours.

Final reminder: If the US GDP data is released tonight, consider closing short-term positions 15–30 minutes before and after the release, wait for market sentiment to settle, then re-enter. If unsure about the timing, don’t force it—after the holiday, market direction will become clearer. It’s perfectly fine to wait.

[Personal view, for reference only, not investment advice] #黄金