I’ve been involved in Bitcoin since 2016, which means I’ve lived through multiple bull and bear cycles. Over the years, one thing has become very clear to me: Bitcoin moves in powerful, predictable cycles. The story changes, the headlines change, but the structure remains the same.

That’s exactly why earlier this year, when Bitcoin dropped from around $120,000 to $110,000, I decided to cash out most of my holdings.

This wasn’t an emotional decision. It was a calculated move based on history.

The Bitcoin Cycle Never Lies

Bitcoin operates on a roughly four-year cycle, driven by an event known as the halving. Every four years, the reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half, reducing new supply. Historically, this leads to explosive price growth — followed by a deep correction.

This pattern has repeated with remarkable consistency:

2013: Bitcoin surged to ~$1,200 → crashed to the $200 range by 2014

2017: Bitcoin peaked near $20,000 → fell to ~$3,000 in 2018

2021: Bitcoin topped at ~$69,000 → dropped to ~$15,000 by 2022

Every time, the narrative was different — but the outcome was the same.

Where We Are in This Cycle

The most recent Bitcoin halving occurred in April 2024, once again cutting supply. Since then, Bitcoin has rallied strongly, eventually reaching the $120K zone in 2025.

If that level turns out to be the cycle top, history suggests a 50%–70% correction is not only possible — it’s normal.

A 50% pullback would bring BTC to $60K–$70K

A 60–70% correction could push prices as low as $40K–$50K

Based on past cycles, a reset like this could happen by late 2026, well before the next halving expected around April 2028.

This Isn’t Bad News — It’s How Bitcoin Works

Many people fear these corrections, but seasoned Bitcoin holders understand their purpose.

Big pullbacks:

Flush out hype and weak hands

Reset market sentiment

Create long-term accumulation opportunities

Every major crash in Bitcoin’s history has eventually led to new all-time highs. What feels like pain in the moment often becomes the buy of a lifetime in hindsight.

Final Thoughts

If Bitcoin is trading around $60K or even lower by the end of 2026, don’t be shocked. That wouldn’t mean Bitcoin failed — it would mean Bitcoin is behaving exactly as it always has.

For long-term believers, the strategy remains simple: Zoom out. Stack smart. Respect the cycle.

Bitcoin rewards patience, not panic. 🚀

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