Investment bank Compass Point Research & Trading has issued guidance advising investors to be cautious about buying Bitcoin on price dips until the asset can sustainably break above the $98,000 level.
Rationale: The Short-Term Holder Cost Basis: According to analysis cited by NS3.AI, the $98,000 mark is significant as it represents the approximate average cost basis for short-term Bitcoin holders (coins held for less than 155 days). This cluster of price points often acts as a major resistance and supply zone, as holders who bought near that level may look to exit at breakeven.
Market Context and Risks: Failed Breakout Attempt:** Bitcoin's recent rally to approximately $97,500 failed to breach this key level, renewing concerns about a potential prolonged consolidation or correction.
Leverage Risk: The prevalence of high leverage in the market has increased systemic risk. A price decline toward $80,000 could trigger significant cascading liquidations in the derivatives market, potentially accelerating a sell-off.
The guidance suggests that until Bitcoin demonstrates decisive strength above the short-term holder cost basis, the near-term risk/reward profile for new long entries on weakness is unfavorable. $BTC $ETH $BNB #BTC #MWAM_Crypto