#XAUUSD
⚠️ IF YOU SHORT GOLD NOW, READ THIS FIRST 🚫 THE TRAP IS ALREADY SET
THE OPERATOR OF $XAUUSD 🥇
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Hello everyone, I hope you’re all doing well. ❤️
During yesterday’s London session, the market respected the structure we were expecting. However, after the FOMC, the market behaved extremely aggressively. We saw a very strong upside move in Gold, and even today, as soon as the US market opened, Gold moved nearly $160 within just one hour, which is no doubt insane.
Geopolitical tensions are heavily impacting the market these days, and the situation we are witnessing in Gold is something very new. For the first time in history, we saw a daily candle of nearly $262, and overall, the entire month of January has already delivered almost a 23% move, which is extremely rare. As traders, it is very important for us to adapt to such conditions. Now, let’s discuss my plan for Gold today.
📊 STRUCTURE & PRICE BEHAVIOR 📊
One important thing I noticed is that during the closing session, the market broke above $5400, closed above it, and then opened today with a gap-up, followed by a strong push. Price then tapped the round number high around $5602, after which we saw some consolidation and a downside move.
This consolidation and pullback happened mainly because many traders were buying near $5500 with stop losses placed just below or above that level. The market trapped those positions, swept liquidity, and is now trading again above $5500.
🧠 PRICE ACTION & LIQUIDITY LOGIC 🧠
If we look at price action on the 30-minute timeframe, the way today’s wicks have formed suggests that the market still needs to sweep liquidity. That’s why I am currently expecting a minor upside move first, followed by another downside sweep.
Since Gold swept $5500 and then started trading above it again during the London session, fresh buyers have likely entered the market. Also, price reversed close to the day low, which means many traders probably placed their stop losses below the day low and held their positions. From a psychology and price-action perspective, it would make sense for the market to show a small downside move toward $5445, or possibly sweep today’s low before showing another reversal.
🚫 NO MAJOR CRASH EXPECTED 🚫
This does not mean the market will crash from here — that is highly unlikely. Right now, everyone is trying to catch the top, which has created a lot of emotional and aggressive selling. The market knows this very well.
After making a high near $5600, the market showed rejection, but a full correction from here would be too easy and obvious. These days, traders are selling aggressively near round numbers, so market makers are intentionally showing short-term rejections near round levels to invite sellers — and then continuing the upside push.
That’s why our overall bias remains buy on dips, as long as we do not see a 3% or larger red daily candle. Only then would it make sense to shift our bias toward the bearish side and think about buyer traps. For now, we must flow with the trend.
📈 BULLISH BIAS & KEY LEVELS 📈
I remain strongly bullish above $5375. Now we simply need to observe how deep the downside push goes — whether the market sweeps the day low and reverses, or whether it sweeps the $5400 breakout zone from yesterday’s close and then reverses to give us a clean buying opportunity.
🎯 UPSIDE TARGETS & BUY CONDITIONS 🎯
Since the market has taken resistance near $5600, a direct fall from this round number is unlikely in such strong bullish conditions. Many traders are sitting with stop losses above this zone, hoping for a drop, but in extreme bullish trends, markets don’t collapse from obvious levels. Sudden drops usually come when traders are least prepared — and something similar may happen in the future.
For now, the upside targets are:
$5646 – $5675 – $5715 – $5792
If Gold continues to sustain without any downside sweep, then patience is key. We should wait for a strong 15-minute candle close above $5553, and only then plan fresh buying positions with the same upside targets.
⚠️ FINAL ADVICE & RISK MANAGEMENT ⚠️
Guys, the market is doing something new these days. If you are new or not experienced enough, trade patiently, focus on study, or trade with very small lot sizes.
Volatility is extremely high right now.
Remember one thing: LESS IS MORE in these conditions. Trade with patience, trade with proper planning, and you can definitely make good money in Gold.
I hope you liked my analysis and that it gave you a clear directional idea for trading.
Good luck to everyone for Thursday — trade safe and stay disciplined. 💪✨
THE OPERATOR OF $XAUUSD 🥇
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