btcusdt

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been following the exact same pattern of the USDT Dominance (blue trend-line) during the 2020 - 2022 period.
As you can see the USDT.D 's Triple Top (blue circles) on that previous Cycle was initially a Support for BTC during the Bull Cycle and then the first Low during the Bear Cycle (green circles).
When the USDT.D broke above it, BTC made a new Lower Low and on the USDT.D's subsequent pull-back, it formed a new Bear Flag. That was contained below BTC's 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested last week and when the USDT.D resumed the upside, Bitcoin went on to form the Bear Cycle bottom on its 1W MA350 (red trend-line).
This is why our minimum Target for this Bear Cycle (and the starting level of new our long-term buy strategy) is $50000.
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$BTC
Bitcoin is showing mixed but bullish momentum today as market sentiment, ETF inflows, and open interest continue supporting the trend. However, short-term volatility is expected because BTC is now trading near a major liquidity zone.
Current BTC price is around $80,666, while market structure still favors bulls on higher timeframes.
Market Sentiment Overview
The overall crypto market sentiment remains neutral-to-bullish:
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 48 → Market still in accumulation zone.US Fear & Greed Index: 67 → Risk-on environment supporting crypto.Crypto Market Cap: $2.69TDaily ETF Net Inflow: +$145.65MWeekly BTC Treasury Inflow: +$259.62M
These numbers show that institutional demand is still active, which supports bullish continuation unless heavy selling pressure appears.

What CoinGlass Data Suggests
The liquidation heatmap and max pain zones reveal two important levels:
Major Resistance Zone
$83,037 Short Liquidity AreaLarge short liquidations are sitting above this level.If BTC breaks above $81K strongly, price can squeeze quickly toward $82.5K–$83K.
Major Support Zone
$80,256 Long Max Pain AreaThis is the key support intraday.Losing this zone could trigger fast liquidation toward $79K.
Open Interest is also elevated, which means:
Higher volatility is expectedSudden wick moves are possibleFake breakouts can happen before the real direction

Technical Analysis
Higher Timeframe Trend
BTC trend remains bullish on:
Daily timeframe → Uptrend4H timeframe → Uptrend
RSI Analysis
Daily RSI: 60.724H RSI: 50.031H RSI: 43.94
This indicates:
Market cooled down after recent bullish momentumBTC still has room for another upward pushShort-term consolidation likely before expansion

Expected BTC Move Today
Bullish Scenario
If BTC holds above $80.2K–$80.5K, buyers may push price toward:
$81,500$82,300$83,000 liquidity sweep
A breakout above $83K could start another strong impulsive rally.
Bearish Scenario
If BTC loses $80K support, then:
Long liquidations may triggerBTC could revisit $79K–$78.5K quickly
But currently, higher timeframe structure still favors buyers.

Trade Setup (Scalp + Intraday)
LONG Setup ✅
Entry: $80,250 – $80,500
Targets:
TP1: $81,200TP2: $82,000TP3: $82,900
Stop Loss: $79,650
Confirmation:
Hold above supportIncreasing volume15M/1H bullish candle close

SHORT Setup ⚠️
Only if BTC closes below $79,900
Targets:
$79,200$78,500
Stop Loss: $80,700

Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is still trading inside a bullish market structure, supported by ETF inflows and positive macro sentiment. However, open interest and liquidity clusters suggest that volatility could increase sharply today.
Traders should watch the $80K support and $83K resistance very carefully because whichever side breaks first may decide the next major move.

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