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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
THEEEQHS Ultraالنظام المصري الكمي الهجيني :
#SHORT📉
有小伙伴问，那些老兵为什么会自责。
他们久经沙场，不为名利。从外战、内战、再到边疆无战事，不追求一点名利开始返乡。回乡后，大部分人的家庭破碎，父母妻儿、饿死的饿死，病死的病死。国内文化宗族气息又很重，再看看村里的人比以前更惨，然后再回想起自己为了理想、为了口号久经沙场出生入死，他们大多数人一生都是破碎的状态。
可以看看陈宝国演的汉武帝，去探望乡亲父老，被一拄着拐的老兵骂，现实比电视剧更残忍，那些留在部队的还好，那些返乡的一生大多数时间都是煎熬，与课本、电视剧中完全不同。
前两年还看到，有探望那个年代老兵的博主，去探望一老兵，一你问对党对自己过去有什么自豪的故事，那老头瞬间来了精气神，口吐各种国粹。那个年代很多很多原谅不了自己，我爷爷表弟也是那种，他去参军后儿子为了口吃的晚上去偷抓鱼淹死、老婆父母饥荒饿的病死、他退伍后，直接精神崩溃，每天骑着自行车串亲戚，一生都在骑自行车串亲戚的路上，很多人都对他指指点点，现在想想他对自己应该很自责。
我们看到的这些电视剧、课本、都是美化的艺术品，现实很残酷。我爷爷是在内战退下来的，对他而言内战是一种煎熬，他宁愿做逃兵都不愿意参与内战，做逃兵也很难，他一米八多，脱下军装哪一刻他都知道自己会被抓，他身高太显眼了，几天就被抓了，他和当时的首长以前一个战壕里的战友，了解原因后给他写了封信，算是通行证给他放了。
后来那首长的儿子在电视节目中回忆他父亲的话，才明白为何会给我爷放了，他儿子回忆，他睡觉就能梦到许多父母妻儿找他要父亲、儿子。
少看一些书本上的故事，那个年代大多数人都是破碎的状态。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
他们久经沙场，不为名利。从外战、内战、再到边疆无战事，不追求一点名利开始返乡。回乡后，大部分人的家庭破碎，父母妻儿、饿死的饿死，病死的病死。国内文化宗族气息又很重，再看看村里的人比以前更惨，然后再回想起自己为了理想、为了口号久经沙场出生入死，他们大多数人一生都是破碎的状态。
可以看看陈宝国演的汉武帝，去探望乡亲父老，被一拄着拐的老兵骂，现实比电视剧更残忍，那些留在部队的还好，那些返乡的一生大多数时间都是煎熬，与课本、电视剧中完全不同。
前两年还看到，有探望那个年代老兵的博主，去探望一老兵，一你问对党对自己过去有什么自豪的故事，那老头瞬间来了精气神，口吐各种国粹。那个年代很多很多原谅不了自己，我爷爷表弟也是那种，他去参军后儿子为了口吃的晚上去偷抓鱼淹死、老婆父母饥荒饿的病死、他退伍后，直接精神崩溃，每天骑着自行车串亲戚，一生都在骑自行车串亲戚的路上，很多人都对他指指点点，现在想想他对自己应该很自责。
我们看到的这些电视剧、课本、都是美化的艺术品，现实很残酷。我爷爷是在内战退下来的，对他而言内战是一种煎熬，他宁愿做逃兵都不愿意参与内战，做逃兵也很难，他一米八多，脱下军装哪一刻他都知道自己会被抓，他身高太显眼了，几天就被抓了，他和当时的首长以前一个战壕里的战友，了解原因后给他写了封信，算是通行证给他放了。
后来那首长的儿子在电视节目中回忆他父亲的话，才明白为何会给我爷放了，他儿子回忆，他睡觉就能梦到许多父母妻儿找他要父亲、儿子。
少看一些书本上的故事，那个年代大多数人都是破碎的状态。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
顺發顺發:
说的简单，他们牺牲了自己和家庭换来了如今的盛世中国，别拿个别兵来诋毁也国奉献甚至牺牲的战士，因为你没有资格！
另外你说老兵自责，更多不是自责为国家生存之战，而是自责自己辜负了父母子女及整个家庭！并不是你说的那种肮脏之事。
万事都可吐槽调侃，为何选择针对军人呢？
你或许你们是愤青、活在中国却各种在网上骂中国的人，如果你或你们是这样的人，那么可以gun出中国，如果不是那样的人，请善待你的祖国，她的确不是很完美，但是目前她至少保你家庭团圆、阖家欢乐！
Los que estamos en corto, resistan, que no les tiemblen las manos en cerrar su posición, vamos a ganar!!! Se viene buena caida 💯😎🍀🤞🏻 #btc
E Alex:
Stay strong, short team. Good luck. Wanna follow each other?
🚨 $BTC Since June 2025, every FOMC decision has led to Bitcoin trading lower within the next 14 days.
June 2025 - BTC dropped -6.3%
July 2025 - BTC dropped -5.0%
Sep 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -6.7%
Oct 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -10.0%
Dec 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -8.2%
Jan 2026 - BTC dropped - 32.8%
Mar 2026 - BTC dropped -8.7%
Now Bitcoin is entering April FOMC while sitting directly under the same rejection zone. Maybe this time is different but the last 7 times, FOMC was not the breakout catalyst, it was where late longs got trapped. #btc #bitcoin #fomc
June 2025 - BTC dropped -6.3%
July 2025 - BTC dropped -5.0%
Sep 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -6.7%
Oct 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -10.0%
Dec 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -8.2%
Jan 2026 - BTC dropped - 32.8%
Mar 2026 - BTC dropped -8.7%
Now Bitcoin is entering April FOMC while sitting directly under the same rejection zone. Maybe this time is different but the last 7 times, FOMC was not the breakout catalyst, it was where late longs got trapped. #btc #bitcoin #fomc
Proper_Trader:
claim $10 here in red packet 🥰🧧
https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/Wfirxrtd?utm_medium=web_share_copy
Now I'll tell you one thing that will turn your idea of the market in your head.
We used to think that falling is as easy as growing up. But no.
Here, we take our favourite bitcoin for $76.9 thousand for analysis and simulate two situations:
📈 To reach $92 thousand (+15.1 thousand) you only need to pour ~$190 million into the market.
📉 But in order to collapse the price to $62 thousand (-14.9 thousand), you need to withdraw as much as $1.319 billion from the market!
Think about it: the price change is almost the same, but the difference is 6.9 times! It's like pushing a trampoline down: it springs backwards, but it's easier than throwing it up.
Why so?
The model takes into account a bunch of factors: open interest, liquidations, margin flows. And now all this shows us that there is a concrete wall from the limit orders at the bottom. Sellers will have to sweat a lot to break through the floor. But at the top there is rarefied air🪁 buyers can disperse the market with little effort if you compare it with sellers.
My opinion: this is a bullish imbalance. When it takes almost one and a half lards for the fall, and the ridiculous 190 lambs for growth, it means that the market does not physically want to go down.
So don't be surprised if we see $92k sooner than $62K. Mathematics is on our side.
This is not financial advice, it's just figures that are publicly available for which we can thank the market maker$BTC $ETH $SOL #BinanceSquareTalks #analysis #btc
We used to think that falling is as easy as growing up. But no.
Here, we take our favourite bitcoin for $76.9 thousand for analysis and simulate two situations:
📈 To reach $92 thousand (+15.1 thousand) you only need to pour ~$190 million into the market.
📉 But in order to collapse the price to $62 thousand (-14.9 thousand), you need to withdraw as much as $1.319 billion from the market!
Think about it: the price change is almost the same, but the difference is 6.9 times! It's like pushing a trampoline down: it springs backwards, but it's easier than throwing it up.
Why so?
The model takes into account a bunch of factors: open interest, liquidations, margin flows. And now all this shows us that there is a concrete wall from the limit orders at the bottom. Sellers will have to sweat a lot to break through the floor. But at the top there is rarefied air🪁 buyers can disperse the market with little effort if you compare it with sellers.
My opinion: this is a bullish imbalance. When it takes almost one and a half lards for the fall, and the ridiculous 190 lambs for growth, it means that the market does not physically want to go down.
So don't be surprised if we see $92k sooner than $62K. Mathematics is on our side.
This is not financial advice, it's just figures that are publicly available for which we can thank the market maker$BTC $ETH $SOL #BinanceSquareTalks #analysis #btc
抄顶卖底:
川就是大庄😅
Jack Dorsey reminded that Bitcoin is not just money, but a tool against censorship, banking control, and reliance on intermediaries like Visa and Mastercard
🔵 BTC continues the idea of the early internet: value and information should flow freely, without permission from above.
🔵 The WikiLeaks case was one of the first examples—when the project’s payments were blocked, Bitcoin helped it survive.
🔵 The disappearance of Satoshi Nakamoto made the system more resilient—BTC has no CEO, no office, and no single point of pressure.
🔵 BTC is especially important in crisis situations, when people need to transfer money and support projects despite pressure from governments and corporations.
🔵 The next step is the spread of information without intermediaries through open protocols like Nostr.
🔵 In essence, it’s no longer just about finance, but about a new infrastructure of freenews dom: money, content, and project support can move directly from community to community.
Earlier, an analyst presented a theory that Jack Dorsey is actually Satoshi Nakamoto.
#btc
More news — subscribe
🔵 BTC continues the idea of the early internet: value and information should flow freely, without permission from above.
🔵 The WikiLeaks case was one of the first examples—when the project’s payments were blocked, Bitcoin helped it survive.
🔵 The disappearance of Satoshi Nakamoto made the system more resilient—BTC has no CEO, no office, and no single point of pressure.
🔵 BTC is especially important in crisis situations, when people need to transfer money and support projects despite pressure from governments and corporations.
🔵 The next step is the spread of information without intermediaries through open protocols like Nostr.
🔵 In essence, it’s no longer just about finance, but about a new infrastructure of freenews dom: money, content, and project support can move directly from community to community.
Earlier, an analyst presented a theory that Jack Dorsey is actually Satoshi Nakamoto.
#btc
More news — subscribe
$BTC
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, we just observed a bit of retracement on BTC. We may see a bit more retracement towards 73k, but our bias remains unchanged. We are still expecting BTC in the 80k area. This bias is valid as long as it holds above the 73k level.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Click below to Take Trade
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, we just observed a bit of retracement on BTC. We may see a bit more retracement towards 73k, but our bias remains unchanged. We are still expecting BTC in the 80k area. This bias is valid as long as it holds above the 73k level.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Click below to Take Trade
#btc #foryou
In a significant shift from its high-profile sovereign crypto experiment, the Kingdom of Bhutan has effectively ended its state-run Bitcoin mining operations and is systematically liquidating the majority of its Bitcoin reserves. Since October 2024, Bhutan has sold approximately 70% of its holdings, reducing its stash from around 13,000 BTC to just under 4,000 BTC. This quiet exit is confirmed by on-chain data from Arkham Intelligence, which shows that no significant mining rewards have flowed into the country’s treasury for over a year, suggesting its mining activities ceased around November 2024. The Himalayan nation’s strategic withdrawal is likely a calculated economic decision, as rising global mining difficulty and the 2024 Bitcoin halving have squeezed profitability, while exporting its abundant, low-cost hydropower to neighboring India may now offer a more stable and lucrative return on its energy resources.
In a significant shift from its high-profile sovereign crypto experiment, the Kingdom of Bhutan has effectively ended its state-run Bitcoin mining operations and is systematically liquidating the majority of its Bitcoin reserves. Since October 2024, Bhutan has sold approximately 70% of its holdings, reducing its stash from around 13,000 BTC to just under 4,000 BTC. This quiet exit is confirmed by on-chain data from Arkham Intelligence, which shows that no significant mining rewards have flowed into the country’s treasury for over a year, suggesting its mining activities ceased around November 2024. The Himalayan nation’s strategic withdrawal is likely a calculated economic decision, as rising global mining difficulty and the 2024 Bitcoin halving have squeezed profitability, while exporting its abundant, low-cost hydropower to neighboring India may now offer a more stable and lucrative return on its energy resources.
76k is waqt bilkul 74k ki tarah behave kar raha hai aur market ke liye ek local liquidity zone ban chuka hai 📊🔒
Price ko ya to tez girawat (sharp drop) ke sath 74k tak aana hoga 📉, ya phir strong bounce lena hoga 📈 taake overall market structure aur behavior stable reh sake ⚖️🛡️
Traders ke liye yeh level kaafi critical hai, is liye risk management par khaas tawajjo dein ⚠️👀
#btc #crypto #power
Price ko ya to tez girawat (sharp drop) ke sath 74k tak aana hoga 📉, ya phir strong bounce lena hoga 📈 taake overall market structure aur behavior stable reh sake ⚖️🛡️
Traders ke liye yeh level kaafi critical hai, is liye risk management par khaas tawajjo dein ⚠️👀
#btc #crypto #power
Басқа контенттерді шолу үшін жүйеге кіріңіз