dollar

The well-known billionaire and hedge fund founder Ray Dalio warns of a new phase of global instability. According to his analysis of historical cycles, the economy and politics could be facing a particularly turbulent time.

His analysis of roughly 500 years of history shows that world orders often follow recurring cycles.

Dalio calls this pattern the "Big Cycle." In such cycles, new monetary, power, and world orders emerge, develop over decades—and ultimately collapse.

Currently, he believes the world is in a particularly critical phase, on the verge of a potential upheaval.

According to Dalio's analysis, such major historical cycles last an average of about 75 years—sometimes considerably longer or shorter.

The last major upheaval, he argues, was the period between the Great Depression of 1929 and the end of World War II in 1945. Afterward, a new world order emerged under US leadership, which continues to shape the international financial and security system today.

However, according to Dalio, many current developments increasingly resemble the years preceding this upheaval.

Dalio cites several developments that, in his view, are typical of a particularly unstable phase of such a cycle.

These include:

High and rapidly growing national debt, as well as geopolitical conflicts, raise doubts about the value and stability of money—especially reserve currencies.

This drives capital out of paper currencies and into gold or cryptocurrencies.

The transition from a world order with a dominant power and relative stability to a world order characterized by conflicts between multiple major powers.

The disintegration of alliances such as NATO.

Growing wealth and income disparities within countries lead to:

The rise of populism—both right-wing and left-wing—and to irreconcilable differences that cannot be resolved through compromise or the rule of law.

I quoted from the following article...

https://www.focus.de/finanzen/ray-dalio-ich-habe-500-jahre-geschichte-studiert-und-befuerchte-dass-wir-in-die-gefaehrlichste-phase-des-grossen-zyklus-eintreten_a149ff87-b186-4aeb-94ba-0d6904dafbdb.html

My personal conclusion:

Do you also see the parallels? The only question is whether this system change will end in war or begin with a different financial system?

Posted Using [INLEO](https://inleo.io/@der-prophet/das-muster-des-big-cycle-the-pattern-of-the-big-cycle-gky)

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