memecoin

Meme coins entered 2025 riding political buzz and platform-fueled enthusiasm, but they are closing the year sharply smaller, bruised by oversupply, fading attention, and relentless volatility.

The Meme Coin Reckoning: How 2025 Turned Speculation Into Capitulation
The meme coin sector began the year with a market capitalization near $130 billion, carrying momentum from late 2024 and a steady stream of new launches. Early optimism pushed the category briefly higher, but by the end of December, the sector had contracted to roughly $42 billion, a drop of about 67% from its peak.
That reversal defined 2025. Meme coins were and still are everywhere, created faster than traders could track them, traded aggressively during hype windows, and discarded just as quickly when attention moved on. Trading volumes followed the same path, falling 80% to 90% across major platforms as the year progressed.
Politics played an outsized role early on. The launch of official trump (TRUMP) in January turned a meme into a headline event, with the token climbing from under $10 to more than $74 on inauguration day. Investor dinners and POTUS-linked moments repeatedly injected short-term excitement, reinforcing how dependent the sector had become on external narratives rather than onchain utility.
The search term “ memecoin” according to Google Trends data, stretched for approximately 12 months, shows a peak score of 100 in January, while the search term has drifted down 96% scoring a 4. During the week of Aug. 10-16, 2025, the search term reached 56.
Other breakout acts stuck to a script everyone knows by heart. Tokens such as FARTCOIN and SPX flashed headline-grabbing weekly pops during moments of peak hype, at times clearing 50% in just a few days. Elsewhere, the trapdoor opened: Haliey Welch’s HAWK, the LIBRA coin tied to Argentina’s President Javier Milei, and Ye’s meme token YZY all invited controversy—then promptly took major price tumbles.
HAWK reached $0.01737 per unit and now stands at $0.00008276 after suffering a 99% loss. LIBRA too is down 99% from its peak, and Ye’s yeezy coin (YZY) has suffered a 87.6% decline as well.
The downside was far more crowded. Data shows roughly 90% of top meme coins suffered double-digit declines over a nine-month stretch, with losses ranging from 30% to nearly total wipeouts. MELANIA Meme stood out for all the wrong reasons, shedding almost its entire value over the year. On Jan. 20, 2025, MELANIA tapped an all-time high of $13.05 per coin, and now it’s down 99% at $0.112 per unit.

Even established names were not immune. Coins such as PEPE, SHIB, and DOGE experienced repeated pullbacks during periods of broader market stress, reminding traders that brand recognition does not equal insulation. Survival, not dominance, became the real metric by year’s end. Coingecko’s State of Memecoins Report 2025 explains that while a great deal of meme coins stemmed from meme token launchpads, independent versions still dominated by 86.2%.
Oversupply magnified the damage. More than 13 million new meme coins were created in 2025, overwhelming discovery mechanisms and fragmenting liquidity across countless micro-markets. Launchpads lowered barriers to entry, but they also accelerated burnout among retail participants.
Regulatory signals briefly steadied sentiment. A February statement from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) indicating most meme coins were not securities removed a layer of legal anxiety, but it did little to change long-term behavior. Speculation continued to dominate, just with fewer participants willing to stay through downturns.

Midyear brought isolated rebounds tied to sector rotations and broader crypto optimism, including a summer rally led by several top names. These moves provided temporary relief but failed to reset the overall trajectory, as capital quickly rotated away once momentum stalled.
By autumn, the tone had shifted decisively. Creation numbers remained high, but engagement thinned, and capital concentrated in a shrinking group of survivors. November marked the clearest capitulation phase, with the market settling near $47 billion despite brief spikes in launchpad activity.
December closed with familiar patterns after shedding another $5 billion: sudden jumps in niche tokens, short-lived optimism, and an audience that had learned—sometimes painfully-how quickly meme coin narratives expire. The sector did notch a modest month-end lift, but it was incremental rather than transformative.
Even with plenty of coins in the red, one meme coin managed to keep its footing in 2025. Toshi (TOSHI), for example, is up 130% since the start of the year. At year’s end, meme coins remain what they have always been: community-driven experiments in attention economics. They can still move quickly, still generate eye-catching returns, and still erase them just as fast.
What changed in 2025 was scale-the booms were bigger, and the exits came faster. For traders and observers alike, the lesson was blunt. Meme coins thrive on timing, which spurred snipers, culture, and spectacle, not patience. As 2026 approaches, the category looks leaner, louder, and far more selective about where attention—and money-flows next.
#Binance #wendy #memecoin $BTC $ETH $BNB

As 2025 draws to a close, Shiba Inu (SHIB) remains under clear selling pressure, with short‑term technicals signaling sustained weakness. Market data shows SHIB/USD trapped in a downtrend on the 4‑hour chart, where prices hover below key moving averages and reflect caution among traders. Yet deeper on‑chain and derivatives data suggest a market reset rather than outright capitulation as we head into 2026.

Bearish Technical Structure Dominates SHIB
Shiba Inu continues to struggle technically. On the 4‑hour timeframe, SHIB trades below its 20, 50, 100, and 200 exponential moving averages — a clear sign that sellers currently control price action. Since early December, the token has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, pointing to a controlled decline rather than a panic sell‑off.
A break below the Fibonacci 0.236 level near $0.00000760 marked a pivotal shift in momentum, and SHIB now trades near $0.00000708, just above a key cyclical support around $0.00000701. This support zone will likely prove crucial in the short term.

If SHIB slips decisively below $0.00000700, the next targets could be $0.00000680 and potentially $0.00000650. On the flip side, any relief rally may immediately confront resistance in the $0.00000722–$0.00000730 band. A stronger recovery would require reclaiming $0.00000757 and eventually $0.00000800 — thresholds that have so far capped upward moves.
Directional indicators support the cautious outlook. The DMI’s ADX sits below 20, suggesting a weak trend and potential for extended consolidation unless volume increases sharply.

Derivatives and Chain Flows Point to Market Reset
Open interest in SHIB futures has cycled through leverage‑driven peaks and troughs throughout 2024 and 2025. Historically, dramatic increases in open interest coincided with price rallies, only to unwind rapidly as leverage was removed.

By mid‑2025, open interest settled in a range between roughly $100M and $250M, reflecting cautious participation. Notably, by the end of December, open interest dropped by about $80.9M, indicating significant deleveraging and lower liquidation risk. Rather than a forced sell‑off, this pattern suggests investors are resetting positions ahead of the new year.

Spot market flow data aligns with this interpretation. Recent months have been dominated by net outflows, pointing to consistent withdrawals from exchanges. Earlier short‑term spikes in inflows during May and July quickly faded as those relief rallies lost momentum. Since October, outflows have intensified alongside falling prices, with another roughly $1M net outflow recorded by late December. This behavior suggests accumulation and reduced immediate selling pressure.

Ecosystem Developments: Shib Owes You and Beyond
Beyond price action, the Shiba Inu ecosystem has rolled out a formal recovery framework — a structured response to the Plasma Bridge incident. The initiative, dubbed Shib Owes You (SOU), uses smart contracts to log and manage claims on‑chain.
Affected users receive Ethereum‑based NFT tokens representing their owed value, with flexibility to merge or split claims for partial liquidity. Funding for this effort will come from tighter oversight of ecosystem revenue streams, and all projects using the Shiba Inu brand are expected to contribute to the recovery fund.
This structured approach highlights a broader commitment to accountability and community value preservation despite market headwinds.

Longer‑Term Technical Outlook
From a broader perspective, SHIB’s price structure remains compressed within clearly defined levels.
Upside resistance levels to watch:
Immediate barriers: $0.00001238, $0.00001264, $0.00001286Breakout sweet spot: $0.00001472Extended rally target: $0.00001600
Key supports:
Primary defense: $0.00001180Secondary support: $0.00001100Lower downside buffer: $0.00000999
The 200‑day EMA near $0.00001364 remains a critical ceiling; clearing it could shift sentiment more bullishly for SHIB.
Technically, SHIB appears locked in a descending wedge pattern — an arrangement that often precedes volatility expansion when price eventually breaks out of the range. So while trend conviction is currently muted, momentum indicators suggest equilibrium rather than directional bias. The next decisive move will likely hinge on volume confirmation.

Will Shiba Inu Bounce Higher?
The near‑term prospects for Shiba Inu depend on whether buyers can defend support around $0.00001180 long enough to challenge the broader resistance cluster between $0.00001264 and $0.00001286. A renewed influx of capital and a breakout above these levels could ignite a rally toward $0.00001472 and possibly $0.00001600.
Conversely, failure to hold key support would break SHIB’s accumulation base and increase vulnerability to deeper correction.
In sum, SHIB is at a crossroads — still technically compressed and awaiting confirmation of the next trend shift. Traders and investors alike will be watching key support and resistance levels, as well as volume dynamics, to determine whether a reset turns into resurgence or continued consolidation.

#shibaInu , #shiba , #CryptoAnalysis , #SHIB , #memecoin

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Відомий криптоінфлюенсер та аналітик Джеймс Уїнн @James Wynn знову сколихнув криптоспільноту, повернувшись на ринок мемкоїнів з надзвичайно оптимістичним, навіть "шаленим" прогнозом щодо Pepe ($PEPE ). Після періоду відносної тиші щодо мемних токенів, Уїнн публічно заявив про свій відновлений інтерес до PEPE, передбачаючи значне зростання цього активу.
Його прогноз базується не лише на традиційному технічному аналізі, а й на культурному феномені, який стоїть за мемкоїнами. Уїнн вважає, що спільнота Pepe залишається надзвичайно сильною та лояльною, що є ключовим фактором для мем-токенів. Він також звернув увагу на можливі інтеграції та розвиток екосистеми Pepe, які можуть підтримати довгостроковий інтерес до токена.
Заяви Уїнна часто викликають бурхливу реакцію, адже він відомий своєю здатністю впливати на ринкові настрої. Хоча такі прогнози завжди пов'язані з високим ризиком, особливо у волатильному секторі мемкоїнів, його повернення до PEPE вже викликало підвищену активність серед інвесторів. Цей крок Уїнна є черговим нагадуванням про те, що на крипторинку навіть "жартівливі" активи можуть приносити значні прибутки, якщо їх підтримує сильна спільнота та достатній хайп.
Будьте в курсі головних новин крипторинку та майнінгу!
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