*Flow & sentiment check*: On-chain data shows wallets holding 1K-10K $BTC just hit their highest exposure since Nov 2025, signaling whale conviction despite the chop. Meanwhile, $ETF inflows totaled $2.43B this month, adding institutional bid under the market. The main near-term headwind is profit-taking from short-term holders around $78K-$79K, which lines up with that $77,762 weekly resistance level. If BTC reclaims $78,500 with volume, momentum traders will likely target $80,100 then $82,400. But lose the 100-dayEMA at $75,648 and we could see a quick flush to $73,500.