btc90kbreakingpoint

$BTC Daily MA200 Analysis Across 4 Bitcoin Cycles (End of Cycle: Q4 correction Vs Q1 Retest)
🟢 2013–2014 Cycle:
- Once price closed under MA200, it triggered a deep 71% correction.
- After finding the bottom, BTC made a 94% relief rally back toward the MA200 but failed to reclaim it.
- Conclusion: MA200 acted as heavy resistance during the entire bear phase.
🟢2017–2018 Cycle:
- Similar structure: BTC lost MA200 after the top.
- This breakdown caused a 67% decline over 109 days.
- BTC did a 54% relief rally, but again could not reclaim the MA200.
- Result: Multi-month accumulation under MA200 before a new bull cycle.
-Conclusion: MA200 = Bear Market Roof in this cycle.
🟢 2021–2022 Cycle
- BTC fell below MA200 after the mid-cycle top.
- Breakdown led to a 52% drop.
- BTC bounced 44%, touched the MA200, but failed to flip it.
- Price continued grinding lower for months.
- Conclusion: MA200 rejection = continuation of bear market.
🟢2025–2026 Cycle (Current Projection)
- BTC has again broken below MA200 after a big run.
- So far, the correction is -28%, in line with previous cycles.
If BTC repeats history:
- A relief rally toward MA200 is likely.
- Failure to reclaim MA200 could trigger multi-month sideways/lower price action.
- A clean reclaim of MA200 would signal a new bullish phase.
🟢 Simple Summary
In every Bitcoin cycle:
- Losing MA200 at the end of bull cycle (Q4) starts the bear phase.
-Relief rally back to MA200 = normal, but failure to reclaim MA200 = extended bear market / accumulation zone.
- Reclaiming and holding above MA200 = new bull cycle begins.
Remember this structure is valid if you believe in a 4-year cycle, but if the 4-year cycle theory is dead, we will see a new structure in the Bitcoin chart in 2026.
If the bear cycle is going to start, the market will give a retest rally at any time in the next 6 months as per all the last 3 cycles. If it repeats Q1/2018, we can see a 3x-5x jump in alts from here.
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$BTC W październiku 2025 roku rynek bitcoinów doświadczył gwałtownego spadku, ponieważ kryptowaluta straciła ponad 30% swojej wartości po osiągnięciu najwyższego poziomu w historii na początku miesiąca. Poniższa tabela przedstawia podsumowanie najważniejszych liczb i statystyk dotyczących tego spadku:
wydarzenie/wskaźnik historia wartość / procent
historyczny szczyt 6 października 2025 126,251 dolarów