#bitcoin Arthur Hayes is not backing down on his Bitcoin price predictions.
The BitMEX co-founder is sticking to his bold call: $250,000 Bitcoin in 2026, then $750,000 in 2027. In his view, this cycle is not about charts. It is about liquidity.
Hayes argues the $TRUMP administration will eventually flood the system with money to stabilize growth and keep voters calm. That wave of liquidity, he says, is rocket fuel for hard assets like $BTC
While retail panics through corrections, Hayes is betting on fiscal dominance. His thesis is simple. Governments spend. Currencies weaken. Scarce assets go vertical.
Governments facing voter pressure will spend aggressively, even if inflation lingers. More spending means more debt. More debt eventually means more money creation. And that is bullish for scarce assets.
Hayes is framing this around one thing: liquidity.
He also ties it to geopolitics. A prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict, in his view, gives the Federal Reserve cover to ease policy again. History shows that during major wars, liquidity tends to expand, not contract. If conflict is financed through debt, the system absorbs it through monetary expansion.
At around $65,000 today, a move to $250,000 by 2026 would mean nearly a 4x return. The 2027 forecast of $500,000 to $750,000 is where the thesis goes exponential. That implies double-digit multiples from current levels.