BTC tests $76K — the same level that capped the January 2026 rally.
$450M in sell orders above.
F&G at 21, fourth day in Extreme Fear.
Base scenario for the weekend:
Clean break above $76.5K with volume → path to $80K. The biggest short squeeze of the year remains open.
Rejection in the zone and weekly close below
$74K → new test of $72K support. No capitulation, just consolidation.
3) Sideways range $74K-$76K → most likely scenario without fresh macro catalyst.
What most people ignore:
80% of the time the market doesn't break out. It rotates.
Weekends with extreme F&G and sideways price aren't boring.
They're the setup where those without patience give away their position.
Monday we review what happened.