cooling tension in the middle East have helped bitcoin rally to ~$74,000-$75,000.bitcoin being above $60,000 on April 19 is at 99.8%.YES

The market for bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April has responded to this rally,with the odds of a dip now negligible. All sub-markets including April 15 and April 19 are overwhelming YES.the April 19 odds slipped 0.2%from 100%yesterday,likely a minor correction in an otherwise bullish trend.

Reduced geopolitical risk and a strong $BTC rally make a dip to $60,000 within the month unlikely.the April 16 sub-market holds at 99. 9%.even less liquid sub-market likely April 17 show confidence in maintaining above $60,000.

Volume in the April 19 bitcoin market is $17,788 USDC traded,with $32,199 needed to move the price 5 percentage point,indicating decent liquidity.largest recent move was a 0.2%drop,a minor readjustment in stable trading conditions.

At 99.9,buying no pays $1 if bitcoin dips below $60,000.that is a long shot at this point. for such a bet to make sense you,d need a dramatic reversal in middle East conditions or a major market disruption.

Watch for updates on the US-IRAN ceasefire and any changes in bitcoin ETF inflows.institutional positioning and shifts in geopolitical conditions could move these markets