The US-Iran peace deal pushed oil below $81 and sent the S&P 500 up ~1.7% and Nasdaq up ~3.1%. Risk-on energy everywhere… except Bitcoin.
Why? The Fed. New Chair Kevin Warsh just delivered the most hawkish dot plot in years — 9 of 18 officials now see a 2026 rate hike, and forward guidance has been eliminated entirely. $BTC is trading near $64K, shrugging off the geopolitical relief because it's pricing in tighter monetary policy instead.
📍 Setup to watch
Support: ~$62,200 (recent swing low)
Resistance: ~$65,200 (200-day MA) → $66,000
Bulls need: a reclaim of the 200-day MA to flip momentum positive
Bears need: a clean break of $62,200 to open further downside
RSI is sitting neutral (~50) — neither side has won this fight yet.
Equities are trading the Iran deal. Bitcoin is trading the Fed. Know which level breaks before you decide which story you believe. 📊
#Bitcoin #$BTC
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