$XRP 🔍 Crypto markets often give early warning signs on higher timeframes before short-term price action reacts. XRP is now trading at a historically important level — one that has previously divided long-term bullish trends from extended bearish phases. This has placed XRP under serious technical focus as traders evaluate whether the broader trend is still strong or at risk.

The discussion gained momentum after STEPH IS CRYPTO shared a detailed technical analysis on X, pointing out a repeating pattern on XRP’s monthly chart. His focus was on XRP’s interaction with the monthly trend ribbon, a key indicator that has historically signaled major long-term momentum shifts.

👉 Why the Monthly Trend Ribbon Is So Important

The monthly trend ribbon isn’t meant for quick trades — it acts as a long-term momentum filter.

• When XRP trades above the ribbon, it usually signals a bullish market structure.

• When price closes below the ribbon, momentum often turns bearish, confirming a long-term trend shift.

Because this indicator uses slow-moving averages, it filters out market noise and highlights real structural changes. That’s why monthly closes near this level matter so much.

👉 Past Breakdowns Didn’t End Well

Steph highlighted two major historical examples:

• 2018: XRP broke below the ribbon and entered a deep bearish cycle, dropping nearly 65%.

• 2022: A similar breakdown occurred, followed by an additional 54% decline.

In both cases, losing the ribbon didn’t mean a short pullback — it confirmed a long-term bearish reversal.

👉 XRP at a Make-or-Break Monthly Level

Right now, XRP is sitting directly on the monthly trend ribbon, putting the market at a critical decision point. Steph stressed that the warning signal only becomes valid after a confirmed monthly close below the ribbon, not during temporary price swings.

This is crucial because price often tests key levels before choosing direction. Holding above the ribbon would keep XRP’s long-term structure intact and cancel the bearish signal.

👉 What a Confirmed Breakdown Could Mean

If XRP closes below the monthly trend ribbon, history suggests downside pressure could increase. This would likely shift long-term sentiment bearish and open the door for deeper retracements toward major demand zones.

On the other hand, a strong hold above the ribbon would reinforce trend support and lower the risk of a prolonged decline.

👉 Why Traders Are Watching Closely

This analysis is based purely on historical price behavior, not hype or narratives. Long-term technical signals often carry more weight because they reflect collective market positioning over time.

XRP is at a defining technical moment. How price reacts around the trend ribbon may decide whether XRP maintains its broader bullish structure — or enters another bearish phase.

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