The U.S. Supreme Court has postponed its decision once again on whether Trump-era tariffs are lawful, keeping global trade policy—and financial markets—stuck in uncertainty ⏳
This delay is far from ordinary.
The ruling has the potential to redefine how much authority presidents hold over trade policy for years ahead.
For now, the tariffs remain active, but their long-term fate is still unclear.
💼 Behind the curtain
Major importers, including companies like Costco, are already preparing for possible duty refunds, while the U.S. Treasury has confirmed that funds are set aside if the Court invalidates the tariffs.
📉 Why markets are paying close attention
If tariffs are overturned:
• Downward pressure on the U.S. dollar
• Large refund payments to corporations
• Rapid changes in supply chains
• Short-term volatility across stocks, FX, and crypto
If tariffs remain:
• Trade barriers continue
• Elevated input costs persist
• Inflation concerns stay alive
• Potential continuation of USD strength
Adding to the uncertainty, weaker U.S. labor data is reinforcing expectations that the Fed remains on hold—keeping markets locked in a wait-and-watch stance.
🪙 Investor takeaway
This delay doesn’t lower risk—it stretches it out.
Markets may be underestimating the consequences of either outcome.
Volatility hasn’t gone away.
It’s simply waiting for the spark ⏰📊
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