📊 Current Price Action
Trading Range: $406–$410
Recent support collapse caused short-term weakness
Volume spiked, signaling high market activity
Key Levels:
Resistance: $442–$450
Support: $370–$400
Scenario: Break above resistance → potential rally; breakdown below support → deeper sell-off
📈 Bullish Signals
1️⃣ Moving Averages: Short & long-term MAs mostly Buy/Strong Buy
2️⃣ RSI above neutral: Positive momentum; bulls may push toward $442–$450
3️⃣ On-chain & sentiment metrics improving: Active shielded addresses rising, accumulation by some holders
Bullish Targets:
Short–Mid Term: $470 → $550+
Mid-2026: $580–$615+ if adoption and sentiment remain strong
📉 Bearish Risks
1️⃣ Breakdown from key patterns (ascending channels, trend supports)
2️⃣ Possible correction toward $280–$310 if support fails
3️⃣ Bearish indicators: RSI divergence, MACD bearish crosses, break below key Fibonacci levels
📊 Next Move – Technical Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Case:
Hold $370–$400 → stabilization & base build
Break $442–$450 → first leg to $480–$550+
Sustain above $500 → trend reversal toward next resistance zone
🔑 Confirmation: Higher highs on RSI + strong breakout volume
🔴 Bearish Case:
Fail to hold $370 → test $300–$310
Break below $300 → wider correction possible ($220–$280)
⚡ Catalysts: Regulatory pressure, macro risks, privacy coin sentiment
📌 Long-Term Forecast Hints
Bullish models: $580–$615 by 2026, some forecasts up to $992+
Bearish outlook: deep corrections if regulatory or macro stress intensifies
👀 What to Watch Next
Price triggers: Above $450–$460 → bullish; Below $370–$380 → downside
Indicators: RSI & MACD trend, volume on breakouts/breakdowns
Fundamental catalysts: Privacy coin regulations, exchange listings (e.g., Coinbase), protocol upgrades (Sapling, mobile privacy)
💡
ZEC is at a critical juncture — support around $370–$400 is key, while a push above $442–$450 could ignite a strong bullish rally. Bearish risks remain if support fails, so manage risk carefully.
