This chart projects a potential cycle low for $BTC around the $30,000 region sometime in 2026.
BTCUSDT
Perp
89,876.2
+2.02%
If that scenario plays out, it wouldn’t be unprecedented.Historically, Bitcoin cycle bottoms tend to form well after the majority believes the worst is already over — during periods of low volatility, weak participation, and narrative exhaustion.
The key point isn’t whether $30K is exact.
It’s that cycle lows are processes, not events.
Markets don’t bottom on fear alone.
They bottom when interest disappears, volume dries up, and conviction fades.
If this model is even partially correct, 2026 may not feel like opportunity — it may feel like irrelevance.
And that’s usually where long-term positioning quietly begins.
