$BTC just made a sharp sell-off into the 92.5K zone (from ~95K), and this move looks like a classic liquidity grab + displacement event.
Now the key question is simple:
📌 Is this a sell-side sweep before continuation up… or the start of a deeper bearish expansion?
Below is a clear trade plan - educational only — no financial advice.
1) Market Context
1D View
BTC is still inside a broader bearish structure from the previous drop, but recently it was holding a base near ~90K and tried to push upward.
Now price is back below ~95K, meaning bulls lost an important intraday support.
✅ Key takeaway:
BTC is in a zone where the market often shakes out buyers before deciding direction.
4H View
On 4H, BTC was ranging and then printed a strong bearish impulse that broke structure down.
This is the type of candle that usually creates a clean “retest zone” for continuation
📌 This is not random selling — it’s structured movement.
2) Intraday Structure (1H / 15m)
1H View
BTC created a major displacement down from the ~95K area straight into 92.5K.
That means: ✅ liquidity was taken
✅ stops got triggered
✅ weak longs were flushed
Now price is consolidating → this is a key moment.
15m View
15m shows the dump + small bounce and sideways movement.
This confirms we are in a post-impulse consolidation phase.
📌 That’s where traps happen.
Market usually “tests” both sides before moving again.
3) Short-Term (1m View)
1m is choppy, with small reclaim attempts.
This is not a clean entry by itself.
✅ The best move is to wait for:
a sweep
then structure confirmation
then entry from a clean level
4) Price Forecast (What’s Most Likely Next?)
✅ Scenario 1 (Most probable): Sweep low → bounce to retest supply
BTC may first grab liquidity below the current base (92.5K area), then bounce and retest the breakdown zone.
✅ Scenario 2: Retest up first → continuation down
BTC may retest a bearish zone around 93.5K–95K and then drop again if sellers defend.
📌 logic:
Impulse → consolidation → retest → expansion
5) Trade Setups (2 Options)
✅ Setup A: LONG (only after confirmation)
This is valid only if BTC proves the dump was a sweep.
Conditions (must happen)
✅ 1) Sweep below current lows (~92.3K → 92.0K zone)
✅ 2) Strong reclaim above 92.6K–92.8K
✅ 3) 15m BOS up (structure shift bullish)
✅ 4) Entry on retest of bullish OB / FVG
✅ 5) Impulse candle shows strength (clean expansion)
Targets
🎯 TP1: 93.3K–93.8K
🎯 TP2: 94.5K–95.0K (major retest zone)
🛑 Invalidation: hold below ~92.0K
📊 Probability: 70% (only if BOS confirms)
✅ Setup B: SHORT (preferred if price retests supply)
This is the cleanest continuation setup after the breakdown.
Conditions (must happen)
✅ 1) Price retests into 93.3K–94.5K
✅ 2) Rejection candle + failure to hold above retest zone
✅ 3) 15m CHoCH down (bear continuation)
✅ 4) Entry from bearish OB / FVG
✅ 5) Strong sell continuation (not slow drift)
Targets
🎯 TP1: 92.3K
🎯 TP2: 91.5K–91.0K
🎯 TP3: 90K (sell-side liquidity)
🛑 Invalidation: hold above 95K with continuation
📊 Probability: 72–78% (if rejection confirms)
6) What NOT to Do Right Now ❌
Don’t long just because price “looks cheap”
Don’t short the bottom after a dump (late entry = bad RR)
Don’t trade the middle of consolidation
Wait for sweep + confirmation
7) Quick Checklist (Simple Trading Rule)
✅ Sweep → ✅ BOS/CHoCH → ✅ Retest OB/FVG → ✅ Trade
If one condition is missing → no trade.
📣 Do you think BTC will:
💬 Sweep lower first and bounce? Comment “LONG”
💬 Retest supply and continue dropping? Comment “SHORT”
If you want, I can post the exact entry trigger (the candle close rules) for both setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Crypto trading is high-risk. Always use proper risk management and never trade money you can’t afford to lose.
