Data from decentralized trading venues points to potential for a deeper price crash in coming months.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin began 2026 by briefly topping $95,000, but options traders are pricing in a roughly 30 percent chance it will fall below $80,000 by late June.

  • Activity on decentralized platform Derive.xyz shows pronounced downside skew, with heavy open interest in put options between $75,000 and $80,000 signaling expectations of a pullback into the mid-$70,000s.

  • Renewed geopolitical tensions, including President Donald Trump's latest tariff threats on European imports tied to his disputed plan to take over Greenland, pose risk to bitcoin's price.

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