btclongterm

Introdução:
Negociação de longo prazo (também conhecida como negociação de posição ou investimento) em criptomoedas concentra-se em capturar os principais ciclos do mercado em vez de ruídos de curto prazo nos preços. O Bitcoin (BTC) lidera todo o mercado de criptomoedas, e a maioria das altcoins segue a tendência de longo prazo do BTC. Compreender a estrutura do mercado, padrões-chave e fundamentos é essencial para o sucesso de longo prazo.
Este artigo explica como negociar BTC a longo prazo, como diversificar com outras moedas e os padrões de gráfico mais confiáveis que todo negociante de longo prazo deveria conhecer.

I’ve been trading long enough to see dozens of so-called blue-chip altcoins fade into irrelevance. Bitcoin is different. It’s the only asset I genuinely don’t worry about existing 5 or even 10 years from now. ⏳🟠
So the real question is: how do you accumulate Bitcoin over time to actually build wealth?

❌ Where Most People Get It Wrong
Most people try to trade Bitcoin like an altcoin:
🔁 Buy the dip
🔁 Sell the top
🔁 In and out constantly
That’s usually a mistake.
Bitcoin isn’t meant to be traded aggressively. It’s best treated as a long-term core holding, something you accumulate slowly with a multi-year or even multi-decade mindset 🧠📆
This is not a pump-and-dump strategy.
The goal is simple: accumulate Bitcoin over time.

💰 Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)
The first and most effective strategy for most people is Dollar Cost Averaging.
📌 Buy regularly
📌 Ignore short-term price noise
📌 Stick to fixed time intervals
This approach is price-agnostic and removes emotion from the equation 😌
For the majority of investors, this alone will outperform most traders over time.

🔄 Understanding Bitcoin Bull & Bear Cycles
If you want to take it a step further, Bitcoin follows fairly predictable bull and bear cycles.
📊 Roughly every 4 years:
🚀 A powerful bull market
📉 Followed by a deep bear market
Historically:
• Bull markets push price aggressively higher
• Bear markets bring 70%–90%+ drawdowns
❗ No, you don’t need to wait for a 70% crash to buy
But historically:
✅ 30%–50% pullbacks have almost always been strong long-term entries
✅ Once price drops beyond ~50%, you’re usually deep into a bear market
The key isn’t timing the exact top or bottom — it’s buying Bitcoin at a discount 🛒🟠

🧮 Two Smart Ways to DCA
There are two main ways to dollar-cost average:
1️⃣ Time-Based DCA
📆 Buy on fixed intervals
📉 Ignore price completely
2️⃣ Opportunity-Based DCA
🚨 Buy during major capitulation events
📉 40%–60%+ pullbacks historically offer deep value
If you want a slightly more tactical approach:
👀 Focus only on high-timeframe charts
💥 When Bitcoin experiences brutal sell-offs — that’s when you size up your buys
Otherwise, steady accumulation over time will already put you ahead of most market participants.

🩸 The Hard Part: Emotions
This strategy is simple — but not easy.
🔴 Big red candles trigger fear
😨 Capitulation feels uncomfortable
But remember:

When there’s blood in the streets, that’s where opportunity lives.

Your goal isn’t to chase price — it’s to accumulate more Bitcoin over time 🟠
Because in the long run, everything else gets diluted…
👉 Bitcoin is the denominator.
#BTC #BTClongterm #ETHMarketWatch
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