bullmarket

Parece um paradoxo, não parece? Em um mercado onde tudo está "indo para a lua", a maioria das pessoas deveria estar ganhando. No entanto, a história mostra que a maioria dos traders de varejo sai de um ciclo de alta com menos do que começou.
Aqui está a brutal verdade sobre por que isso acontece e como você pode mudar o script.
🛑 A Armadilha do "90%": Por que Eles Perdem
A Fadiga da "Lua": Eles esperam até que o BTC ou ETH esteja em um recorde histórico para entrar. FOMO (Medo de Perder) é um imposto mais caro do que qualquer taxa de exchange.
Superexposição: Quando o mercado parece verde, os traders ficam gananciosos. Eles usam alavancagem de 50x ou 100x, esquecendo que uma simples "caça ao stop-loss" de 2% ou "long squeeze" pode acabar com toda a sua conta.

Os Principais Pontos:
O "Hype" Foi Eliminado: O Bitcoin caiu cerca de 40% de seu pico. Isso parece assustador, mas na verdade é saudável—é o mesmo "reset" que vimos com ações como a Nvidia. A "falsa" empolgação se foi, abrindo espaço para um crescimento real.
O Dólar Está Perdendo Força: Desde dezembro, o Dólar dos EUA (DXY) tem caído. Normalmente, quando o dólar enfraquece, o Bitcoin se fortalece. Estamos apenas esperando que essa "reação atrasada" comece a acontecer.
O Ouro Ficou de Fora, o Cripto Está Dentro: As pessoas estavam obcecadas por ouro no ano passado, mas agora está esfriando. Essa mudança de dinheiro geralmente flui diretamente para o mercado de cripto.

Bitcoin is less than 1% away from testing a market rule that has survived for more than 15 years. Price is hovering around the $70,000 area, while the previous cycle’s all-time high sits near $69,000. The distance may look small on paper, but from a market structure perspective, it’s massive.
Throughout Bitcoin’s entire history, one principle has never failed:
No major cycle has ever entered a sustained bear market below the previous cycle’s all-time high.
This rule has held through every cycle.
History shows a clear pattern. The 2014 bear market respected the 2013 peak. The 2018 bottom formed well above the 2013 ATH. Even during the sharp 2022 decline, Bitcoin held above the 2017 ATH around $20,000 on a macro scale. Each time, former all-time highs transitioned into long-term support.
That consistency isn’t random. It’s driven by investor psychology, structural market behavior, and long-term positioning by large players. Previous ATHs have repeatedly acted as critical support zones.
Right now, Bitcoin is sitting directly on that historical boundary.
If price continues to hold above the $69,000–$70,000 region and pushes higher, the multi-cycle higher-low structure remains intact. In that scenario, the broader bullish macro thesis and the traditional four-year cycle model stay valid.
But if Bitcoin begins to accept price below $69,000, it would mark the first time in history that this rule breaks. That wouldn’t just be a sentiment shift — it would suggest a potential change in market regime.
When long-standing structural rules fail, the effects go far beyond short-term price action. Long-term models are questioned, capital becomes more defensive, risk exposure is reduced, and confidence in the four-year cycle weakens.
This is where bull markets are truly tested.
Strength isn’t about short-lived bounces. It’s about defending key structural levels and maintaining long-term integrity. Holding and reclaiming above $70,000 keeps the macro structure intact and the bullish case alive.
A decisive loss of this level wouldn’t trigger fear because of headlines — it would trigger concern because Bitcoin would be breaking a rule it has never broken before.
This is the moment where bulls defend the structure — or where Bitcoin does something completely unprecedented.
#Bitcoin #MarketStructure #CryptoMacro #BullMarket #Binance
My trading identity:
DR4G0N TR4D3RS 🐉📈
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