Criteria for determining bull to bear transition:

Demand is gradually decreasing, and the upward trend has stopped.

Supply is gradually increasing, and demand can no longer dominate the trend.

Let me explain with a small timeframe 15-minute chart.

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During the continuous rise, trading volume has been shrinking, indicating that demand is decreasing. The following red down candle indicates that supply has emerged, and subsequent demand has not been able to create a new high, meaning it did not break through 1.75. Therefore, the closer it gets to 1.75, the more likely it is to short in the short term.

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