I am hung at the top of the mountain by this expectation of 104000

At the beginning of last month, I conducted an analysis of the market.
The anticipated altcoin rebound from late February to the end of February did not occur. The reason is that BTC did not exhibit the relatively stable range fluctuations that were expected, causing altcoins to decline along with BTC. This misjudgment has also led to my anticipated low-price accumulation in altcoins not materializing in late February, resulting in some of my funds being trapped.
The monthly line correction that was originally expected to occur from early to mid-March has indeed arrived as scheduled.
It is currently March 10th. Although BTC has already experienced a sharp decline from February 28 to March, indicators show that the major bottom is still far from being reached. The expected position is around 70,000, which is an increase from my previous assessment.