Since my last update on the potential $25,000 floor for 2026, $BTC has corrected to the $60,000 range. While many see this as the "final" drop, the structural data suggests we are merely entering a necessary mid-cycle flush.
Historically, the transition from a local peak to a macro cycle low follows a specific path. We are currently in a phase of high anxiety, where the market is loud and price reactions are violent. However, the true bottom—the one I’m targeting in 2026—requires a transition into total apathy and exhaustion.
The Difference Between a Flush and a Bottom
Right now, sentiment is fearful but vocal. People are still arguing about whether the cycle is broken. In a true cycle low, the conversation stops entirely.
Volatility remains sharp and violent, whereas a macro bottom is usually a slow, grinding process that lasts for months. We are seeing high volume from panic selling, but a real floor is only found when volume declines because there is simply no one left to sell.
The Thesis: Resetting Hope, Not Just Price
This move to $60,000 isn't an invalidation; it’s a confirmation of the reset. If the model pointing toward 2026 is even directionally correct, these drops serve to flush out leverage and test conviction. The market doesn't just need to take your money; it needs to take your interest.
The Key Takeaway:
Markets don't bottom when fear is loud; they bottom when no one is left to speak. If this cycle follows the historical path, the real accumulation phase won't feel like an "exciting opportunity"—it will feel pointless. That is exactly when long-term wealth is built.
Stay patient and stay strategic.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoStretegy #MarketCycles
