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BITCOIN This is where this Bear Cycle will bottom.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been repeating almost the exact same pattern during every Bear Cycle and its subsequent bottom.
Once the Bull Cycle tops, the market enters a correction under Lower Highs, which is technically the new Bear Cycle. A break below the Support of the Descending Triangle typically initiates Phase 2, which is where BTC is currently at.
On the 2014 and 2018 Bear Cycles, the bottom came on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). On the more recent one (2022) it was formed within the 1M MA50 - 1W MA350 (red trend-line) Zone. This is where we expect BTC to form its new bottom (minimum), within $50000 - 45000.
Notice also that the Triangle's Support has historically been either on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Cycle Low or on the 0.5 Fib (blue) from the upcoming bottom. If this is again on the 1W MA350, then this time the 0.236 and 0.5 Fibs overlap, which largely confirms this Triangle thesis.
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