uselections

Piața de predicție se află într-un punct cheie de cotitură. Volumul săptămânal de tranzacționare al platformelor majore precum Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad a depășit 2 miliarde de dolari, transformându-se rapid dintr-un statut de reglementare anterior incert într-o infrastructură nouă vitală în piața crypto și financiară.

Privind înapoi la sfârșitul anului 2024, alegerile din SUA au devenit un punct de cotitură pentru piața de predicție. Polymarket a pariat cu exactitate pe victoria lui Trump în alegerile prezidențiale, stabilind volume de tranzacționare record și influență, dar, de asemenea, confruntându-se cu presiuni de reglementare, cum ar fi interdicția în Franța și investigațiile FBI. Ulterior, CFTC din SUA și-a schimbat poziția, reflectând deschis asupra abordării de reglementare care a condus la „capcana de incertitudine legală” și a eliminat obstacolele pentru platforme precum Kalshi.

Pe măsură ce sezonul electoral din SUA se intensifică, vedem niște titluri dure. Vicepreședintele Harris câștigă teren, iar piața crypto simte presiunea. Bitcoin a scăzut recent sub 68.000 de dolari, ceea ce îi îngrijorează pe mulți în legătură cu o posibilă scădere a valorii. În ciuda acestui sentiment negativ, investitorii mari și entuziaștii crypto intervine pentru a cumpăra în timpul acestei scăderi.

Intrări Puternice în ETF-urile Bitcoin

În această săptămână, ETF-urile Bitcoin spot din SUA au raportat intrări nete impresionante de 2,22 miliarde de dolari. Acest lucru sugerează că jucătorii mari văd această scădere de preț ca pe o oportunitate bună de cumpărare, mai degrabă decât ca pe un motiv de panică. Potrivit Farside Investors, acest influx de numerar spune o poveste plină de speranță pentru Bitcoin.

Valoarea totală blocată (TVL) a Polymarket a înregistrat o scădere bruscă de 50% după rezultatele alegerilor din SUA și avertismentele privind o posibilă interdicție în Franța (după unele pierderi mari din partea celor care au pariat pe Kamala Harris). 🤷

Pentru a contracara declinul, echipa sugerează un posibil airdrop în viitor. 🤔
#PolymarketBanInFrance #uselections

Pe măsură ce rezultatele actualizate ale alegerilor din 2024 din SUA sosesc, Donald Trump și-a extins avansul în statele cheie, obținând 198 de voturi electorale față de cele 109 ale lui Kamala Harris. State precum Utah și Montana au fost adăugate la totalul lui Trump, reflectând o tendință continuă de putere republicană în regiunile conservatoare. Dar ce determină aceste câteva victorii constante și ce dezvăluie această hartă actualizată despre peisajul politic din SUA?
Factorii Cheie din Spatele Succesului lui Trump în Aceste State
• Bastioane Traditionale Republicane: State precum Utah, Montana și Dakota de Sud au o istorie de susținere a candidaților republicani. Alegătorii din aceste zone se aliniază în general cu valorile conservatoare, cum ar fi intervenția limitată a guvernului, structurile familiale tradiționale și o abordare pro-afaceri. Alinierea lui Trump cu aceste priorități l-a ajutat să asigure aceste state de timpuriu.

Currently, the President of United States of America, Joe Biden, has withdrawn from the election to be held in November 2024. Now it has to be seen who among them, Kamla Harris from the Democrat Party and Donald Trump, who is from the Republican Party, will win the election of 2024 November. Because recently a news has come that if Donald Trump wins the election then he will implement the PROJECT-2025 in America. It is being said that the PROJECT-2025 will bring dictatorship in America.
Project 2025: A wish list for a Trump presidency, explained
Ahead of each presidential election, many think tanks in Washington DC release policy wishlists. As the campaign heats up, these proposals can act as talking points for candidates, and perhaps even shape their official party platforms.
The Conservative Promise is one such policy wishlist, which lays out ambitious ideas for a prospective Trump presidency. It is published by Project 2025, which is “a broad coalition of conservative organisations that have come together to ensure a successful administration begins in January 2025”.
Project 2025 has also set up a personnel database which will help the future president make administrative appointments, a training programme to develop future conservative leaders, and “a 180-day playbook”, which presents a blueprint for the first six months of the next presidency.
“If we are going to rescue the country from the grip of the radical Left, we need both a governing agenda and the right people in place, ready to carry this agenda out on day one of the next conservative administration. This is the goal of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project,” the project’s website reads.
In popular discourse, Project 2025 has been used interchangeably with The Conservative Promise.
Why is Project 2025 controversial?
Simply put, Project 2025’s policy agenda takes some extreme positions.
It advocates expanding the president’s powers, and concentrating decision-making authority in the White House. Conversely, it argues for drastically reducing the power, and cutting the funding, of various federal administrative departments. Among its notable recommendations is to “disband” the Department of Education.Project 2025 calls for the reclassification of tens of thousands of federal workers — possibly the most dramatic change in the federal workforce since the 1880s. This will allow the president to appoint loyalists who side with him, and his administration.The policy document calls for a “biblically based” definition of marriage and family, which it clarifies means “heterosexual, intact marriage”. It also pushes a number of anti-LGBTQ+ positions, such as rescinding federal anti-discrimination protections “on the basis of sexual orientation, gender identity, transgender status, and sex characteristics”.On reproductive rights, Project 2025 advocates the prosecution of people who send abortion pills through the mail, the cancellation of the Food and Drug Authority’s two-decade-old approval of mifepristone, one of the two drugs used in medication abortion, and the federal tracking of abortion-seekers using “every available tool”.The policy document recommends “unwinding… the Biden Administration’s climate fanaticism”. For example, it recommends ending wind and solar power subsidies, scrapping energy-efficiency standards for appliances, prioritising the use of fossils, and dismantling the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Clean Energy Corps.Project 2025 calls to expand on Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration during his previous term. For instance, it advocates for higher thresholds for accepting immigrants and refugees, and increasing the amount of time undocumented children can spend in the detention centres.
Who is behind Project 2025?
Project 2025 is spearheaded by the Heritage Foundation, a Washington DC-based conservative think tank. Heritage platforms researchers and analysts from a wide range of fields, who — according to the organisation’s website — seeks solutions to “protect America’s future”.
“From empowering parents in education, reversing growing spending and inflation, and protecting the unborn, to securing America’s borders, countering the threat of Communist China, holding Big Tech accountable, and ensuring free and fair elections — Heritage is on the front lines in the fight to help Americans thrive,” the foundation’s website says.
Heritage has been publishing the Mandate for Leadership series since 1981. Each publication coincides with a presidential election, and offers specific conservative policy recommendations for the federal government. From Ronald Reagan to Donald Trump, the Mandate series has been highly influential in guiding Republican presidents’ actions. According to Heritage’s website, Trump “embraced nearly two-thirds of Heritage’s proposals within just one year in office” including leaving the Paris Climate Accords, increasing military spending, and increasing off-shore drilling.
Project 2025 builds off Heritage’s Mandate series, collaborating with more than 100 other conservative organisations. These include the Center for Renewing America, a Christian nationalist policy think tank headed by Russel Vought; Moms for Liberty, which has vociferously advocated against school curricula that mention LGBTQ+ rights, race and ethnicity, critical race theory, and discrimination; and the National Rifle Association, gun rights lobbying and advocacy group.

Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

Trump’s campaign has contingency plan for taking on HarrisHarris or other Democrats deprive Trump of age argument
Donald Trump, fresh off a convention where the Republican Party’s confidence in him was palpable, must now deal with a harsh reality: The 2024 race has gotten dramatically trickier to navigate with President Joe Biden’s decision to drop out.
Trump’s aides weren’t surprised by the exit on Sunday, and his campaign had been developing contingency plans to take on Vice President Kamala Harris since a disastrous performance by Biden in a late-June debate sparked calls for the president to abandon his reelection campaign.
Those plans, though, have to address some fresh challenges. For months, 78-year-old Trump has attacked 81-year-old Biden for being too old to effectively serve another term. But 59-year-old Harris — whom Biden has endorsed — or virtually every other Democrat who could end up atop the ticket would deprive Trump of the argument, and might even be able to turn the tables on him.
The campaign also risks losing traction with some key constituencies, including young people and voters of color, where it had made inroads with some who now might be receptive to Harris or another Democrat. One of the strategies Trump allies plan to employ against Harris — to paint her as less likable personally — holds particular risk of alienating suburban women and Black voters.
And while Trump has kneecapped rivals in the past with cutting insults and demeaning nicknames, his attacks on women candidates have sometimes veered into sexist or racist territory that threatens to turn some voters off. He has referred to Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren as “Pocahontas,” and called his Republican primary challenger Nikki Haley“birdbrain.”
A 2019 ad from Harris’ earlier presidential bid rocketed around social media over the weekend, offering a preview of how she might put Trump on the defensive: The spot dubbed Harris “the anti-Trump,” contrasting her background as a prosecutor with claims that Trump is “owned by the big banks.”

Immigration Focus
Trump allies and advisers have shrugged off Harris, appraising her as a weaker candidate than Biden who is worse at one-on-one interactions with everyday voters.
The campaign believes it can beat Harris by playing up her leading role tackling immigration policy in the Biden administration. Trump’s co-campaign manager, Chris LaCivita, has called Harris the “border czar,” and has said he would love to use that message against her. That description of her was used repeatedly at the Republican National Convention, hinting that the party views it as a potent attack.
Trump himself had prepared to potentially run against Harris. He outlined his thoughts on a Harris candidacy in an interview with Bloomberg on July 9, just days before a lone gunman attempted to assassinate him at a rally in Pennsylvania.
“I don’t think it would make much difference,” he said by phone. “I see the same basic level of competence, and I don’t think it would make much difference. I would define her in a very similar manner that I define” Biden.
Several polls since the debate have shown Harris trailing Trump either nationally or in key states. Some political strategists, though, don’t see that as predictive of how things will stack up if she is officially anointed the Democratic nominee. The party’s convention is set to begin Aug. 19 in Chicago.
David Axelrod, the former Obama White House adviser, said Sunday that the “election changed in a dramatic way” when Biden decided to stand down. Trump is “a vulnerable candidate and can be beaten,” Axelrod said on CNN.
Little Time
After Biden’s disastrous debate, Trump officials first made the argument that the incumbent had won nearly all of the Democratic delegates during the primary, and legally it was too late to shift them to another candidate.
That argument evolved over the week at the Republican National Convention. By Thursday, top officials like LaCivita publicly suggested that if Biden was too feeble to run for reelection, then he should not serve out the remainder of his term in the White House.
Now that Biden has made the decision, though, their focus is largely on figuring out how to best square off against his replacement. While the game plan is set for Harris, the plan for another potential Democrat is far murkier, said two people familiar with the campaign’s plans.
Two Trump advisers say the toughest presidential candidate to beat would be Michelle Obama, but there is no indication she would want to run and the former first lady has batted down any mention of a political career in the past.
The Democrats’ vice presidential nominee is also now a wild card. That complicates debate preparation for JD Vance, the Ohio senator just tapped as Donald Trump’s running mate.
And it has the potential to alter the ticket’s chances in key battleground states. Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, an oft-mentioned name as a possible running mate for Harris, would complicate that state for the Republican, one Trump adviser says, but not push the swing state out of reach. Shapiro was quick to endorse Harris after Biden dropped out.
Trump allies and advisers privately think the sprint that Democrats are facing works in the GOP’s favor. The Democrats have very little time to coalesce behind a candidate and raise money before early voting starts in some states.

#kamalaHarris #uselections #donaldtrump

Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

Alegerile nu s-au încheiat încă!

Orice postări sau imagini care susțin că Kamala sau Trump sunt câștigătorii sunt false!

Nu efectuați tranzacții pe baza acestei informații false. Vă rugăm să așteptați ca rezultatele oficiale să fie anunțate în curând.

#uselections

Dacă Donald Trump se întoarce la Casa Albă în 2024, ar marca o schimbare semnificativă în politica din SUA și relațiile globale. Conducerea sa ar putea introduce politici noi, revigorându-le pe cele vechi și având un impact atât asupra peisajului intern, cât și internațional. Iată o privire asupra posibilelor schimbări pe care SUA și lumea le-ar putea experimenta sub o a doua președinție Trump.
1. Politici Interne
a) Imigrarea Poziția dură a lui Trump față de imigrare a fost centrală în primul său mandat. Un al doilea mandat ar putea revitaliza controalele mai stricte la graniță, inclusiv dezvoltarea suplimentară a zidului de la granița SUA-Mexic și măsuri de deportare sporite. Aceste politici ar putea restricționa, de asemenea, cererile de azil și ar îngreuna obținerea statutului legal pentru imigranți în SUA.

Criticii Bitcoin au atacat rețeaua susținând că minerii bitcoin sunt ineficienți și consumă prea multă energie. Aceste atacuri sunt de obicei implicate într-o îngrijorare falsă pentru schimbările climatice, dar sunt aproape întotdeauna finanțate de echipe competitive de active digitale care pur și simplu încearcă să obțină un avantaj prin capturarea reglementărilor.

După cum vă puteți imagina, combinația dintre bani și semnalizarea virtuții poate fi o forță puternică în lumea politicii. Luați în considerare evoluțiile recente din Adunarea Statului New York - politicienii au votat pentru interzicerea minării bitcoin în stat.