🥇 GOLD (XAU/USD) — MONDAY ALERT
Price: 4,767 (Friday Close)
Market: Closed today. Monday 7 AM PKT open.
BUY SETUP:
Entry: Hold above 4,554 then long
SL: 4,480
TP1: 4,760
TP2: 4,820
SELL SETUP:
Entry: Rejection at 4,800 then short
SL: 4,850
TP1: 4,554
TP2: 4,400
BEARISH RISK:
Tweezer top formed at 4,800 on 4H chart.
RSI pulling back from overbought.
Trump moving toward Iran ceasefire, safe haven demand will drop.
Fed rate cut in April at 0% chance.
BULL CASE:
Central banks still buying gold.
JPMorgan targets 5,000 to 6,300 year end.
War escalation puts 5,000 back in play.
FOMC Minutes + US CPI this week = big move coming.
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🛢️ OIL (WTI/BRENT) — MONDAY ALERT
WTI: 103 | Brent: 105
Market: Closed today. Monday open.
BUY SETUP:
Entry: Hold above 100 then long
SL: 98
TP1: 107
TP2: 110
SELL SETUP:
Entry: Rejection at 107.80 then short
SL: 109.50
TP1: 100
TP2: 96.66
BEARISH RISK:
Tweezer top at 107.80, strong rejection.
1H head and shoulders targeting 96.66.
Iran peace talks progressing, Hormuz could reopen.
OPEC+ adding 206,000 b/d production today.
BULL CASE:
Hormuz still 90-95% blocked.
Ceasefire by April 15 only 25% odds.
War escalation targets 115 to 120.
WTI strong buy on all timeframes.
OPEC+ Decision today + EIA Report April 7 = Watch closely.
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Entry only after 5M candle confirmation. No confirmation, no trade.
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