$XRP Bold Prediction: The black swan event in the US stock market could explode around the midterm election period, and if that happens, crypto markets won’t escape the impact either.$ETC
To be clear, the crypto market already has enough conditions for an independent crash on its own.
1. There are two different narratives here.
If the US stock market crashes later, it will likely be the cumulative result of election bubbles, overvaluations, liquidity problems, war expenses, and declining economic efficiency.
But if crypto experiences another major correction in the short term, it’s more likely caused by Trump and Wall Street intentionally creating volatility to harvest liquidity and profits.
This does not contradict long-term bullish development for crypto. The US has already chosen crypto as a strategic industry direction, but supporting long-term growth does not mean they won’t manipulate short-term volatility for profit opportunities. That’s the balance between long-term strategy and short-term capital games.
2. In the coming posts, I’ll focus more deeply on the US stock market situation.
Right now, many major indicators connected to historical market crashes are starting to align. The only reason the market hasn’t fully broken down yet is because Trump is still maintaining confidence ahead of the midterm elections through policy narratives, media influence, diplomatic moves, and market expectations.
At the same time, major Wall Street players tied to Trump’s China visit are also coordinating direct and indirect interest exchanges to keep confidence alive.
3. Two recent signals are especially dangerous:
• The Buffett Indicator in the US has climbed near 230%, far beyond historical normal valuation ranges and signaling extreme overheating.
• The Gates Foundation fully sold its remaining 7.7 million Microsoft shares on Friday, completely exiting the position.
Just one year ago, Microsoft was the Foundation’s largest holding with roughly 28.5 million shares valued around $10.7 billion. In only four quarters, it went from the biggest position to zero.
That is not a normal portfolio adjustment. That is a major warning signal.
4. For crypto traders:
Trump’s China visit ended smoothly, but the market may be underestimating geopolitical risks. The previously soft stance toward Iran could suddenly shift into direct military escalation, creating a shock event strong enough to trigger massive liquidations across crypto markets.
That scenario could wipe out overleveraged bulls, force panic selling, and complete another full liquidity reset.