Let’s break this down over coffee ☕—simple and straight.
Right now, Bitcoin is flashing serious warning signs, and the data isn’t pretty.
📉 One of Bitcoin’s Weakest Q4s on Record
Analysts at CryptoQuant are raising red flags 🚩
Q4 return: -19.15% ❌
Historically, deep red Q4s often lead to more downside in the next 2–3 months
This looks less like “#volatility ” and more like a structural correction
📊 What’s Wrong With the Chart?
Early 2025 = green momentum 🟢
Q4 = sharp reversal 🔴
Large Q4 losses tend to act as an anchor, dragging price lower before stability returns
📌 Translation: This isn’t a quick dip—it’s a prolonged cooling phase.
🧨 Capitulation Signals Are Flashing
Here’s why traders are nervous 👇
SOPR: 0.99 (<1) → Coins sold at a loss 😓
Short-Term Holder MVRV: 0.87 → Recent buyers are underwater 🌊
35.66% of BTC supply underwater → Constant sell pressure
Fear & Greed Index: 20 → Extreme Fear 😱
🧠 Conclusion: Selling pressure is still active. Capitulation isn’t done yet.
📉 Demand Is Weak — And That’s the Bigger Problem
It’s not just price… demand is fading 👀
Market Cap Growth: -11.65% 📉
#ETF outflows: -$825.7M (Dec 18–24) 🏦💸
Coinbase Premium Gap: -66.11 → U.S. investors are net sellers 🇺🇸
Institutions are stepping back. That matters.
🔮 So… What Does This Mean for 2026?
CryptoQuant’s base scenario 🧩
➡️ The correction likely extends into Q1 2026
➡️ Any bounce before demand stabilizes faces strong resistance
➡️ True recovery needs:
Capitulation to finish
ETF flows to stabilize
On-chain demand to return
🗣️ Your Turn
🤔 Is this:
🟢 The last major buy opportunity before the next cycle?
🔴 The start of a longer bearish phase?
Drop your view in the comments 👇
Let’s see where sentiment really stands. 🔥📊
#bitcoin #crypto #cryptouniverseofficial
