This isn’t just political posturing. Trump’s threat directly targets Canada as a key transit point for Chinese goods entering the U.S. If a 100% tariff is imposed, Canadian exports could be effectively priced out of the American market.
The stakes are enormous:
75% of Canada’s exports go to the U.S.
More than $450 billion in trade could be at risk annually
History offers a warning. Between 2018 and 2019, U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs of just 10–25% caused exports to drop 19–41%, wiping out billions in revenue and costing thousands of jobs. A full 100% tariff would magnify that impact dramatically.
The sectors most exposed include:
Automotive manufacturing
Energy exports
Steel and aluminum
Electric vehicle and battery supply chains
Canada has been working to diversify trade toward China, which makes economic sense but also adds political complexity. Financial markets rarely wait for official decisions — they react to expectations.
Such uncertainty in traditional trade flows can ripple across the economy, creating macro volatility. When conventional trade channels are disrupted, alternative financial systems, including digital assets, often gain more attention and relevance.
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