US-Iran technical talks resume as oil cools, but Hormuz remains the key risk

🛢 On July 1, the US and Iran entered indirect technical talks in Doha, marking a fresh signal of dialogue after the recent escalation.

🌊 The exchanges are being held through Qatari and Pakistani mediators, with no direct high-level meeting yet. The main focus is restoring shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, maintaining the ceasefire, and addressing part of Iran’s frozen assets.

📉 Oil prices reacted by cooling further, with WTI moving around the $68–69 range. This suggests the market is temporarily pricing in lower supply risk, offering mild support to global risk sentiment.

⚠️ Still, the signal remains early and fragile. The US wants freer maritime flows, while Iran aims to retain control over Hormuz, keeping the risk of deadlock or a fast market reversal on the table.

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