The ceasefire is basically a scorecard now — you hold it up and count violations.

Israel's still flattening homes in southern Lebanon. 200k people won't have anywhere to go back to. US could cut it off tomorrow with one phone call. Doesn't.

The Katz threat on Khamenei before the funeral? Probably noise. Real hits don't get announced. And neither side can handle what comes after if it's real.

One interesting bit: Gadi Eisenkot's new party in Israel. Ex-general, backs two-state, might actually pull Arab parties into a coalition. That's math Netanyahu can't solve.

Generals who've buried their own guys sometimes govern different. We'll see.