Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed yesterday 3 straight red quarters (3-month candles) for the 4th time ever! Each time that happened, it marked a major Low, whether the Bear Cycle bottoms of 2014 and 2022 or the March 2020 COVID flash-crash Low.
As a result, history suggests that June's Low was probably the new major Low and bottom of the current Bear Cycle.
However, the two previous 3 straight red quarters streak that priced the 2014 and 2022 Bear Cycle bottoms, didn't start at the beginning of the Cycle as opposed to the current streak that started exactly on the October 2025 All Time High (ATH).
This potentially means that this is not the ending sequence of the Bear Cycle, especially since the 3M RSI hasn't yet touched its 11-year Buy Zone. However, based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, we may very well see the bottom taking place at the end of the current 3M candle and a very likely candidate remains the 1W MA350 (red trend-line) around $50000 (which is actually in our opinion the bear minimum).
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