My Bitcoin Outlook:
📊 BTC/USDC Technical Analysis — Daily Chart (1D)
🔹 Price Structure
Support Levels:
90,500 – 91,000 USDC → immediate support / current equilibrium zone
88,500 – 89,000 USDC → aligns with the MA(25), key dynamic support
80,500 – 81,000 USDC → major structural support (previous significant low)
Resistance Levels:
93,700 – 94,500 USDC → short-term resistance / recent high
98,900 – 100,000 USDC → MA(99), dominant macro resistance
Market sentiment appears mixed:
🐂Bulls defend a higher low above 90k.
🧸Bears anticipate a retest of the MA(25).
🔹 Moving Averages
MA(7): ~91,740 → above price, but flattening
MA(25): ~88,760 → rising, acting as dynamic support
MA(99): ~98,930 → above price, defining a neutral macro trend
🔹 Technical Indicators
RSI (6): ~54 → neutral
Stochastic RSI: ~67 / ~83 → elevated but normalizing
Williams %R (14): ~-44 → neutral
MACD: positive, with a flat histogram → momentum is not accelerating
OBV: negative and mostly flat → lack of clear institutional inflows
Parabolic SAR: below price → short-term uptrend remains valid
🔹 Volume
Stable, moderate volume, no signs of aggressive distribution
Volume MA(5) and MA(10) are balanced
📌 Conclusion:
BTC is digesting the recovery move from the 80.5k area, consolidating in a healthy manner above 90k. Rejections in the 94–95k zone indicate supply is still present, but the absence of aggressive selling keeps the outlook constructive.
➡️ Holding above 90.5k preserves a neutral-to-bullish bias
➡️ A sustained break above 95k / MA(99) opens the door toward 100k+
⚠️ Loss of 90k or the MA(25) increases the risk of a correction toward 85k–80k
📈 Daily Trend:
➡️ Neutral–Bullish, consolidating
⚠️ Momentum has weakened, with no clear reversal signals
🎯 Controlled pullbacks remain healthier than forced breakouts
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