soltechnicalanalysis

✍️ Автор: Сайед Шахмир | 22 июня 2025 | Журнал рынка Binance

$SOL Solana (SOL) только что увидела одно из самых резких 24-часовых падений за месяцы, упав более чем на 8.3% на фоне нарастающих геополитических напряжений и скачка мировых цен на нефть. Крипторынок вошел в режим полного отказа от рисков — и трейдеры SOL чувствуют давление.
🛢️ Заголовки о войне + Нефтяной шок = Крах рынка
$SOL упала с $140.39 до минимума $127.25, причем самая интенсивная волна продаж пришлась прямо на 13:00, когда объем взорвался свыше 4 миллионов.

$SOL
SOL
234.65
+5.24%
Solana демонстрирует значительную слабость после многократных неудач в突破 критической зоны сопротивления между $228.95 и $229.32. Это отклонение указывает на сильное давление со стороны продавцов и высокую вероятность краткосрочной коррекции. 📉
📈 Ключевые уровни для наблюдения:
Сопротивление: $228.95 - $229.32 (Потолок)
Зона входа (короткая): $227.50 - $228.80
Цели по прибыли:
🎯 $224.50
🎯 $222.95
🎯 $221.35
Стоп-лосс: ⛔ $230.50 (Строго следовать!)
📊 Настройка торговли:
Если цена останется ниже отметки $229, движение вниз очень вероятно. Это представляет собой потенциальную возможность для короткой позиции с ясным соотношением риска и вознаграждения. Не забудьте аккуратно управлять размером вашей позиции и частично фиксировать прибыль на каждой цели.

The cryptocurrency markets have a way of creating moments that separate the wheat from the chaff, and Solana (SOL/USDT) is delivering exactly that kind of defining moment right now. Trading at $151.56 with a sharp -5.22% decline, SOL finds itself at what technical analysts call a "make-or-break" level – the kind of price action that either launches explosive rallies or triggers capitulation cascades.
The Numbers Tell a Compelling Story
The current market snapshot reveals the intensity of this battle. SOL has carved out a significant 24-hour range between $153.45 and $161.51, accompanied by massive volume of $535.74 million. This isn't quiet accumulation or passive trading – this represents active warfare between competing market forces, each convinced they're positioned correctly for what comes next.
To put the current price action in perspective, consider the mathematical reality of SOL's potential. From its current level of $151.56 to its all-time high of $258.90, the upside calculation reveals substantial opportunity:
Upside Potential=258.90−151.56151.56×100=70.83%Upside Potential=151.56258.90−151.56​×100=70.83%
That's over 70% upside potential if SOL can reclaim its previous highs – a reminder that current weakness might represent opportunity rather than disaster.
The $145-$155 Fortress: Where Legends Are Made
The technical landscape has crystallized around a critical support zone between $145 and $155. This isn't merely a psychological level – it represents a confluence of technical factors that have repeatedly attracted buying interest. Historical price action shows that this zone has served as a launching pad for significant rallies, making its current test all the more significant.
Market structure analysis reveals that this support zone has been tested multiple times with decreasing selling volume, suggesting that bears are gradually losing their ammunition. Each failed breakdown attempt has been met with renewed buying interest, creating what technical analysts recognize as a "coiled spring" setup.
Order Flow Psychology: The Battle for Control
The current order book dynamics paint a fascinating picture of market psychology. With 52.69% of orders skewing toward buyers versus 47.31% for sellers, we're witnessing a genuine tug-of-war where neither side has achieved decisive control. This near-equilibrium state often precedes significant directional moves, as markets rarely remain in perfect balance for extended periods.
What makes this particularly interesting is the slight buyer dominance occurring during a price decline. This suggests that many market participants view current levels as attractive entry points, potentially setting up for a short squeeze if buying pressure intensifies.
The Bull Case: Reclaiming the Narrative
Should the $145-$155 support zone hold firm, the technical roadmap becomes remarkably clear. The immediate target would be a reclaim of $161, which would signal that buyers have successfully defended the critical support. From there, momentum targets emerge at $174-$178, representing interim supply zones that would need to be cleared.
The key psychological and technical level to watch becomes $187, which would represent a significant breakout above recent consolidation ranges. A sustained move above $187 could open the door to $200-$208, where more substantial resistance likely awaits. For this scenario to unfold, traders would want to see expanding volume on any upward moves and the ability to hold gains rather than immediately selling into strength.
The Bear Case: When Support Becomes Resistance
Conversely, a decisive break below $145 with heavy volume would fundamentally alter the market structure. Such a breakdown could expose deeper demand zones around $132-$135, with more significant support potentially waiting at $118-$122. The key warning signs to watch for include failed bounces that get sold quickly, rising open interest on red candles, and a shift in order book dynamics toward ask-heavy positioning.
Fundamental Strength Amid Technical Uncertainty
Beyond the charts and technical levels, Solana's underlying fundamentals remain compelling. The network continues processing over 2,000 transactions per second consistently, developer activity remains robust, and the ecosystem continues expanding with new projects launching regularly. The DeFi total value locked (TVL) has remained relatively stable despite broader market volatility, suggesting that actual usage and adoption haven't wavered with price fluctuations.
This fundamental strength becomes particularly relevant when considering that Layer 1 blockchain narratives tend to be cyclical. When risk appetite returns to the cryptocurrency space, high-performance chains like Solana historically lead the charge due to their proven infrastructure and developer mindshare.
Strategic Considerations for Market Participants
For those contemplating position sizing around these levels, risk management becomes paramount. The current setup offers clear invalidation levels – a decisive close below $145 would negate the bullish thesis for many traders, while failure to reclaim $161 might suggest that selling pressure remains too intense for immediate upside.
Position sizing should reflect the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets, where single candles can erase weeks of gains. The key is preparing for multiple scenarios rather than betting everything on one directional outcome.
The Contrarian Opportunity
History suggests that the best opportunities often emerge when social media sentiment turns decidedly negative and mainstream attention focuses on short-term price declines rather than long-term potential. While retail investors often panic during such periods, institutional money frequently moves in silence, accumulating positions during periods of maximum pessimism.
The current environment, with its mixture of technical support testing and fundamental strength, creates exactly the kind of asymmetric risk-reward setup that sophisticated traders seek.
Conclusion: Preparation Over Prediction
SOL's current price action represents more than just another trading opportunity – it's a masterclass in market dynamics, where technical analysis, fundamental strength, and market psychology converge. The $145-$155 support zone will likely determine the near-term trajectory, with clear implications for both bulls and bears.
Rather than trying to predict the exact outcome, the prudent approach involves preparing for multiple scenarios while respecting the levels that matter. Whether SOL launches toward $187 or tests deeper support zones, the current setup offers the kind of clarity that traders dream about – clear levels, obvious invalidation points, and compelling risk-reward ratios.
The market is asking a simple question: Do you believe in SOL's long-term potential enough to navigate short-term volatility? Your answer will determine whether you're accumulating this potential discount or waiting for even lower levels.
 #SOLTechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTradingStrategy
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk, and you should always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Давайте разберем текущую рыночную структуру Solana ($SOL ) и на что трейдерам следует внимательно обращать внимание.

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👀 Sol– 4H Технический Обзор

После выхода из своего нисходящего паттерна SOL подошел к главному сопротивлению на уровне $144, но цена столкнулась с сильным откатом.
Этот откат толкнул SOL вниз — однако рынок быстро сформировал двойное дно, сигнализируя о бычьем интересе.

Теперь $SOL снова поднимается к критической зоне сопротивления $144, делая эту область решающей для следующего движения.