The conflict between Iran and the United States has entered its sixth week, with expectations of a quick resolution—previously suggested by Donald Trump—now fading.

Instead of de-escalating, the situation has grown more complex, extending global geopolitical uncertainty and increasing pressure on financial markets.

Investor focus is now shifting to the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release—the first since the conflict began. Rising energy prices due to supply disruptions, especially around key routes like the Strait of Hormuz, could push inflation above expectations.

Some analysts are warning that this may not be an ideal time to trade, given the combination of geopolitical instability and elevated inflation risks, which could trigger extreme volatility.

Markets are facing dual pressure: macroeconomic factors (inflation and interest rates) alongside unresolved geopolitical tensions.

In conclusion, this phase represents a critical test for global markets, with the next direction heavily dependent on inflation data and further developments in the Middle East.

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