Not much analysis is needed to address today’s topic. $BTC (BTCUSDT) is about to close not only the year (2025) but also the month (December), and this makes the upcoming close extremely critical.
The 1M (monthly) candle is currently red, and if it closes this way (roughly below $90,300), Bitcoin will complete three consecutive red monthly candles.
Why is this important?
Because during the 2023–2025 bull cycle, $BTC never printed three bearish monthly candles in a row. A close like this could serve as a clear confirmation that a new bear cycle is already underway.
Even more concerning, this structure closely matches the first phase of the previous bear cycle. Between November 2021 and January 2022, Bitcoin also formed three straight red monthly candles, all while respecting the 1W MA100 (red trendline).
A potential lifeline, however, is that after those first three red months in the previous bear cycle, price found support at the 1W MA100 and rebounded for the next two months — before eventually selling off much more aggressively in later stages.
It’s also important to note that three consecutive red monthly candles have historically been a strong characteristic of bear market activity. During bull cycles, this pattern has occurred only twice:
April – June 2021
July – September 2019
This monthly close could be a decisive moment for Bitcoin’s long-term trend.
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