Good afternoon guys 👋
Let’s talk about HYPE — not emotions, just data.
📉 Price Action (Daily TF)
HYPE is clearly in a strong downtrend.
Current price: ~22.75
From top: 59 → 22 (huge distribution)
Price below MA(7), MA(25), MA(99)
👉 Trend = bearish
No proper higher high or higher low yet
This is not strength — this is controlled selling.
🧠 Smart Traders Data (This is important)
Total smart trader positions: $113.77M
🔴 SHORT side (winning):
329 traders
Position size: $84.64M
Avg entry: 26.48
Unrealized PnL: +13.79M
68.69% in profit
🟢 LONG side (bleeding):
265 traders
Position size: $29.13M
Avg entry: 25.66
Unrealized PnL: −3.7M
Only 29% profitable
📌 Money comparison:
$84.6M SHORT vs $29.1M LONG
Smart money is not guessing — it is positioned.
🧲 Liquidation Heatmap (Where price wants to go)
Heavy liquidity sitting below 23
Thin liquidity above current price
Market already swept upside, now hunting downside liquidity
👉 This tells one thing clearly:
Downside is not finished yet.
🧠 RSI & Volume
RSI around 44 → no bullish momentum
Volume declining → no aggressive buying
Bounces are weak and sold quickly
This is relief bounce behavior, not reversal.
⚠️ My Honest Opinion
❌ Longing here = early & risky
❌ High leverage = donation
🟢 Shorts are still comfortable
🟡 If long → only spot or very low leverage, and only after structure shift
Trend doesn’t reverse because you want it to.
It reverses when big money exits shorts — that hasn’t happened.
A signal from my side-
Bias: SHORT 🔴 (Trend-following)
Leverage: Cross 10X (only with proper risk control)
📍 Entry Zone:
👉 23.55 – 24.05 (sell on retracement, not FOMO)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 23.00
2️⃣ 22.00
3️⃣ 21.00
4️⃣ 20.00
🛑 Invalidation: 24.55
Above this = setup fails
📊 Context:
• Strong downtrend intact
• Smart money heavily short
• Downside liquidity still open
⚠️ Risk Plan:
Split entries.
Risk max 2–3% per portion.
High leverage without discipline = donation.
Follow the trend.
Don’t fight the money.
- your genuine Bro
