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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
#btc
🚨 BTC Update
$BTC is currently sitting around 77.7K after a short-term bounce 📈
After a clear downtrend, we’re now seeing a small recovery, but price is still struggling below resistance.
🔍 What I’m watching:
• Resistance: 78.1K – 78.4K
• Support: 76.9K – 77.2K
💡 Scenario:
If BTC breaks above 78.4K with volume, we could see a stronger move up.
If it gets rejected here, another dip is very possible.
⚠️ Market still looks weak short-term don’t chase blindly.
📊 My take:
This looks like a temporary bounce, not a confirmed reversal (yet).
Trade smart. Wait for confirmation.
#btc #crypto #trading
🚨 BTC Update
$BTC is currently sitting around 77.7K after a short-term bounce 📈
After a clear downtrend, we’re now seeing a small recovery, but price is still struggling below resistance.
🔍 What I’m watching:
• Resistance: 78.1K – 78.4K
• Support: 76.9K – 77.2K
💡 Scenario:
If BTC breaks above 78.4K with volume, we could see a stronger move up.
If it gets rejected here, another dip is very possible.
⚠️ Market still looks weak short-term don’t chase blindly.
📊 My take:
This looks like a temporary bounce, not a confirmed reversal (yet).
Trade smart. Wait for confirmation.
#btc #crypto #trading
Bitcoin se acerca a una importante zona de liquidación de posiciones cortas. 🚀 #btc
En el marco temporal de 15 minutos, el precio está repuntando hacia los 79.400.
📍Recuperación constante tras la consolidación.
📍Mínimos crecientes que generan impulso.
🚨Nivel clave por delante: Un gran grupo de posiciones cortas apalancadas se sitúa por encima.
🔥Liquidez acumulada entre 79.500 y más de 81.000. Esta es la zona a vigilar. Si el precio continúa subiendo, se espera que se desencadenen liquidaciones de posiciones cortas.
Posible aceleración hacia ese grupo rojo. El mercado se dirige una vez más hacia el apalancamiento expuesto.
En el marco temporal de 15 minutos, el precio está repuntando hacia los 79.400.
📍Recuperación constante tras la consolidación.
📍Mínimos crecientes que generan impulso.
🚨Nivel clave por delante: Un gran grupo de posiciones cortas apalancadas se sitúa por encima.
🔥Liquidez acumulada entre 79.500 y más de 81.000. Esta es la zona a vigilar. Si el precio continúa subiendo, se espera que se desencadenen liquidaciones de posiciones cortas.
Posible aceleración hacia ese grupo rojo. El mercado se dirige una vez más hacia el apalancamiento expuesto.
BTC冲高回落，这不是起飞，是试探
现在还追？基本等于接盘。
冲高不放量，上影线拉长，这是典型的“装强”，不是主升。
均线托着看起来很稳，但一旦跌破，就是踩踏起点。上面是追涨盘，下面是止损区，砸穿就会加速。
量价已经开始背离，价格在顶，量在缩，说明不是买盘强，而是没人卖。一旦有人砸，就会直接掉。
别盯着BTC幻想，节奏很清楚：BTC动，山寨等；BTC横，山寨才会补涨。像 Solana 这种有生态支撑的，更容易被资金轮动。
我更倾向于二次冲高做头，前高附近是博弈区，不是追涨区。
今日78500-79000轻仓接一手空回调，止损80300，目标76000 74500#btc
现在还追？基本等于接盘。
冲高不放量，上影线拉长，这是典型的“装强”，不是主升。
均线托着看起来很稳，但一旦跌破，就是踩踏起点。上面是追涨盘，下面是止损区，砸穿就会加速。
量价已经开始背离，价格在顶，量在缩，说明不是买盘强，而是没人卖。一旦有人砸，就会直接掉。
别盯着BTC幻想，节奏很清楚：BTC动，山寨等；BTC横，山寨才会补涨。像 Solana 这种有生态支撑的，更容易被资金轮动。
我更倾向于二次冲高做头，前高附近是博弈区，不是追涨区。
今日78500-79000轻仓接一手空回调，止损80300，目标76000 74500#btc
$BTC
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, BTC reached our precise first target of 78.5k. After hitting the first target it is currently retracing a bit. If the retracement continues, then we may see it at the 73k level before the next move. Our next target remains unchanged at the 80k area. This bias is valid until the 73k level holds.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, BTC reached our precise first target of 78.5k. After hitting the first target it is currently retracing a bit. If the retracement continues, then we may see it at the 73k level before the next move. Our next target remains unchanged at the 80k area. This bias is valid until the 73k level holds.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Me fui de fiesta ayer y ando curandola con una leche de chiva 🐐 , mentalmente ya estoy listo para perder pero sobretodo para ganar …. Así está mi juego, o pierdo 200k (lo que había ganado en la caida hace unos meses) o gano +600K (porque mi analisis indica que se va a 50K) a ver que pasa, esto me emociona 🍀🤞🏻💯 #btc
Esta Abrahamian teLw:
$BTC vai bater os 90k fique atento poiis nao vai parar de subir….
BITCOIN ($BTC ) HEATMAP UPDATE
🔹BTC is trading inside a liquidity-rich range with no clear trend expansion yet.
🔹Major liquidity sits above at $79.5K–$80K, acting as a magnet for price.
🔹Recent downside sweep near $76.5K suggests short-term relief, not reversal.
🔹If price reclaims $78.5K–$79K, expect a push into the $80K zone.
🔹Failure to hold momentum likely sends BTC back toward $76K liquidity pool.
🔹Current structure remains slightly bearish on lower timeframes.
🔹Next move: liquidity grab toward $80K, then reaction decides direction.
#btc
🔹BTC is trading inside a liquidity-rich range with no clear trend expansion yet.
🔹Major liquidity sits above at $79.5K–$80K, acting as a magnet for price.
🔹Recent downside sweep near $76.5K suggests short-term relief, not reversal.
🔹If price reclaims $78.5K–$79K, expect a push into the $80K zone.
🔹Failure to hold momentum likely sends BTC back toward $76K liquidity pool.
🔹Current structure remains slightly bearish on lower timeframes.
🔹Next move: liquidity grab toward $80K, then reaction decides direction.
#btc
Former Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau argues that the global system based on “common rules” is increasingly losing respect, as major powers like the US, China, Russia, and India increasingly choose which rules benefit them and ignore which don’t, leaving the rest of the world to fend for itself. Large international organizations like the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund were established at a different time and are now insufficient to address the issues of today. Instead, nations are beginning to form smaller groups, linked by shared interests. This further reinforces the argument for holding assets independent of any single nation, such as gold or Bitcoin. As trust in the global system declines, power becomes fragmented, the world shifts toward relationships based on mutual benefit, and the cracks in the globalized system become increasingly apparent. #btc
callmesae187:
check my pinned post and claim your free red package and quiz in USTD🎁🎁
很少有人认真聊这些，尤其是中美经济的深层博弈。
不聊，不代表不会发生。真正的问题是从社会整体来看，我们并没有准备好进入下一个时代。
最大的问题，不是技术，而是思维。国内大量经济学家，依然在用线性增长的逻辑理解世界，但现实已经进入非线性跃迁阶段，这是一个致命错配。
新任美联储主席提到，AI会让一切成本大幅下降。AI降低的是边际成本，而不是整个经济体系的成本。真正决定未来商品价格的，不再是劳动，而是三件更底层的东西、能源、算力、自动化系统，当边际成本趋近于零，谁控制这三者，谁就拥有全球贸易定价权。
从这个角度再看 特朗普，很多看似割裂的动作，其实是同一条主线，关税，不是贸易保护，而是强制供应链重构，对伊朗、委内瑞拉的打击，本质是能源控制权争夺，制造业回流，不是回到人工时代，而是为无人化工厂铺路。
表面上看，这些动作彼此无关，甚至显得粗暴、激进。但如果把时间维度拉长，又回到川普当选时我所讲，特朗普只有一个目标，重建一个以美国为核心的能源 + 算力 + 自动化工业体系。
而真正的分水岭在这里，过去的竞争，是谁的劳动力更便宜，未来的竞争，是谁能建立“无人化生产体系。公式很简单，基础能源 + 算力 + 自动化 = 未来商品的定价权。
实际上我很怕国内过于自满于现有的国际贸易体系和经济结构，未来是非线形的竞争，基础能源的掌控更能决定一个国家的兴衰。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
不聊，不代表不会发生。真正的问题是从社会整体来看，我们并没有准备好进入下一个时代。
最大的问题，不是技术，而是思维。国内大量经济学家，依然在用线性增长的逻辑理解世界，但现实已经进入非线性跃迁阶段，这是一个致命错配。
新任美联储主席提到，AI会让一切成本大幅下降。AI降低的是边际成本，而不是整个经济体系的成本。真正决定未来商品价格的，不再是劳动，而是三件更底层的东西、能源、算力、自动化系统，当边际成本趋近于零，谁控制这三者，谁就拥有全球贸易定价权。
从这个角度再看 特朗普，很多看似割裂的动作，其实是同一条主线，关税，不是贸易保护，而是强制供应链重构，对伊朗、委内瑞拉的打击，本质是能源控制权争夺，制造业回流，不是回到人工时代，而是为无人化工厂铺路。
表面上看，这些动作彼此无关，甚至显得粗暴、激进。但如果把时间维度拉长，又回到川普当选时我所讲，特朗普只有一个目标，重建一个以美国为核心的能源 + 算力 + 自动化工业体系。
而真正的分水岭在这里，过去的竞争，是谁的劳动力更便宜，未来的竞争，是谁能建立“无人化生产体系。公式很简单，基础能源 + 算力 + 自动化 = 未来商品的定价权。
实际上我很怕国内过于自满于现有的国际贸易体系和经济结构，未来是非线形的竞争，基础能源的掌控更能决定一个国家的兴衰。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
黄毛就属于政治界的邪修，过去政治家总会把简单事复杂化。黄毛不一样，黄毛怎么简单、怎么来。对外加关税促使企业回流，一个个企业都老老实实回流拍黄毛马屁，实际上这些企业也知道未来的产品定价不再依靠劳动力优势，产业早晚要回流，而黄毛给了他们一个充足的理由。
对外收拾委内瑞拉、伊朗，这些事美国民主党不想做？民主党肯定想做，只是不愿意背锅，而黄毛政治邪修什么锅不锅都不在意，黄毛停止对伊朗战争，众议员都不同意。
接下来收拾完伊朗，就开始联合贝森特调整美国的长期金融政策。这是一个几乎必然发生的事，过去十几年整个美国金融界都知道美国金融政策需要调整，但这里又没人愿意背锅，黄毛又不一样，黄毛邪修把复杂的事简单化处理。对黄毛而言没有什么锅不锅，接下来一年全球金融市场肯定被黄毛搅动风云。
当年看黄毛上台时鸟样子，我就断定黄毛大嘴巴肯定要比上一轮更强。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
{future}(LDOUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
对外收拾委内瑞拉、伊朗，这些事美国民主党不想做？民主党肯定想做，只是不愿意背锅，而黄毛政治邪修什么锅不锅都不在意，黄毛停止对伊朗战争，众议员都不同意。
接下来收拾完伊朗，就开始联合贝森特调整美国的长期金融政策。这是一个几乎必然发生的事，过去十几年整个美国金融界都知道美国金融政策需要调整，但这里又没人愿意背锅，黄毛又不一样，黄毛邪修把复杂的事简单化处理。对黄毛而言没有什么锅不锅，接下来一年全球金融市场肯定被黄毛搅动风云。
当年看黄毛上台时鸟样子，我就断定黄毛大嘴巴肯定要比上一轮更强。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
{future}(LDOUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#btc #altcoins Я вообще потерял взаимосвязь между Биткоином и рынком в целом, не беру в счет монеты которые пампят и дампят.
Почему такой пробел образовался между BTC и altcoins? Цена BTC за последнее время увеличилась на 15к$ чего не скажешь про остальной рынок, немного падает BTC и 1/2к$ и рынок опускается туда где он был ниже на все 10/15к$ странная динамика рынка, монеты также удерживают на дне, а если BTC упадет опять на 70/60к$ где будет рынок? Абсурдная и жестко манипулирующая игра больших дядей не дает рынку выдохнуть и идти своим путем.
Почему такой пробел образовался между BTC и altcoins? Цена BTC за последнее время увеличилась на 15к$ чего не скажешь про остальной рынок, немного падает BTC и 1/2к$ и рынок опускается туда где он был ниже на все 10/15к$ странная динамика рынка, монеты также удерживают на дне, а если BTC упадет опять на 70/60к$ где будет рынок? Абсурдная и жестко манипулирующая игра больших дядей не дает рынку выдохнуть и идти своим путем.
$BTC Bitcoin holder partying, at the past Friday is a red day for Bitcoin. Now is the most waited for pumping until monday 😂. And the green candles rise unstoppable. The game is changing now. #btc #bitcoinpump
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