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June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are pushing higher Friday morning and two things are driving it. Intel soared 24% in premarket after a blowout earnings report and word out of Pakistan suggests U.S. and Iran negotiations may be back on. That combination gave buyers a reason to show up after a week that was shaping up as a losing one for the major averages. Keep reading for the key levels and what traders need to watch into the close.
June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are edging higher shortly before the cash market opening on Friday. The overnight trade has been volatile, producing two-sided trading action
At 13:04 GMT, it’s trading $7158.00, up $14.50 or +0.20%.
The index hit a record high at 7189.50 early in the session. Traders are going to have to take out this level to resume the uptrend. From the top down, the key levels to watch today are Thursday’s close at 7143.50, last week’s close at 7161.50 and the minor swing bottom at 7079.25
A close below 7161.50 will produce a weekly closing price reversal top. If confirmed, this could trigger the start of a 2 to 3 week correction. Finishing below 7143.50 will form a daily closing price reversal top. If confirmed, this could trigger the start of a 2 to 3 day correction. But the combination of the daily and weekly reversal could send a strong signal that momentum is shifting lower
A trade through 7079.25 will change the minor trend to down and confirm the shift in momentum. This could lead to a steep break into the short-term retracement zone at 7079.25
Longer-term targets are the 50-day moving average at 6833.36, the 200-day moving average at 6826.00 and the retracement zone at 6771.50 to 6672.75.
A Pakistani government official told reporters that Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi is expected in Islamabad Friday evening and that U.S.-Iran negotiations are likely to follow. Oil pulled back on the news and futures pushed higher. That’s the trade in one sentence. Any credible signal that talks are resuming takes risk premium out of energy prices and gives equities room to breathe.
Trump also announced Thursday that Israel and Lebanon agreed to extend their ceasefire by three weeks. The Strait of Hormuz situation remains active with both the U.S. and Iran seizing commercial ships this week. The Middle East is still capable of moving this market on any headline and Friday proved it again.
Intel jumped 24% in premarket after beating earnings estimates and issuing strong guidance. That’s the kind of move that pulls the whole semiconductor space higher and the sector needed it. The iShares Semiconductor ETF posted its 17th straight positive session Thursday and is on pace for a 6% weekly gain. The rally in chips is the one thing holding this market together right now. Everything else is flat to lower on the week with the S&P 500 and Dow both down about 0.3% and the Nasdaq off 0.1%
The weekly close is the number that matters most today. A finish below 7161.50 puts a weekly closing price reversal top on the chart and that’s a signal traders around the world will notice over the weekend. Intel and the Iran talk headlines bought the bulls some time Friday morning. Whether that holds into the close decides how next week sets up.
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United States President Donald Trump’s nominee to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh, faced senators, and there was no subtlety. When directly asked if he believes his nomination was directly linked to Trump’s “obsession” with lower rates, the answer was no surprise: he dodged that question – and many others – like a champion.
An educated guess would suggest that US President Trump chose Warsh because of his criticism of current Chair Jerome Powell.
Inflation is a choice, and the Fed’s track record under Chairman Jerome Powell is one of unwise choices,” Warsh stated in an essay titled “The Federal Reserve’s Broken Leadership,” published last November. “Americans would have higher pay and greater purchasing power if the Fed got its act together,” Warsh added. Not bad for a Trump-ish start.
He also put the focus on the massive Fed balance sheet, now running at around $6.7 trillion. Warsh believes the Fed has injected unnecessary liquidity into the economy, pumping up the stock market and boosting deficit spending, while crowding out private investment. Warsh wants to reduce it significantly, that’s out of question.
But Warsh also pushed against the Fed’s narrative of “transitory” inflationary pressures in 2021. “Jerome Powell’s Fed believes the party is just getting started and won’t remove the punch bowl until the fun is in full swing and the neighbors know it,” he noted back then.
Indeed, Warsh has not saved any criticism of Powell, and that was one major factor tipping the scale in his favor.
But don’t be fooled. Warsh is not getting the chair position just because of his criticism of Powell’s actions. He has an extensive background that supports the nomination, including acting as Fed Governor between 2006 and 2011, when the mortgage crisis hit the global economy.
He is also a tech-geek, with strong ties to Silicon Valley monsters, and if confirmed, he will be the wealthiest chair ever. Warsh is also an advocate of the free market, having an anti-regulatory view of the world
Warsh's prepared statement before the Senate Committee gave some discrete hints on where he is heading. Warsh defended the Fed’s independence, but also noted he doesn’t believe that dynamic is endangered when the central bank’s actions are questioned by elected leaders.
It’s well known that Fed chairs over the last few decades have respected continuity. His criticism of Powell and focus on reducing the balance sheet already suggest continuity won’t be as strong as it had been in the past.
President Trump also demands lower rates and even told CNBC on Tuesday that he will be disappointed if Warsh doesn’t cut interest rates “right away” after being confirmed as the next Fed chair. When asked whether he is here to work for the people or for Trump, Warsh said that “all presidents” tend to favor lower interest rates, and that the Fed’s independence is up to the Fed. He also dismissed inflationary pressures related to tariffs, adding that his broad sense is that inflation risk has improved somewhat.
Looking further ahead, the weekly chart for DXY offers a neutral stance. The index seesaws around a directionless 20-week SMA while technical indicators are stuck around their midlines for a second consecutive week, reflecting the lack of directional conviction.
A slide below the aforementioned April low exposes the multi-month bottom set last January at 95.56. A recovery beyond 99, on the other hand, exposes the 99.30 region, while steady gains beyond the latter could signal an extension towards the March peak at 100.54
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True Market Mean and Short-Term Holder cost basis form a critical $78.2K to $79.2K range that could define the next major move
The True Market Mean filters out lost, dormant, and economically inactive coins, leaving only the cost basis of participants who are actually present in the market, making it a more precise gauge of where real selling pressure resides
Just above sits the Short-Term Holder realized price (STHRP) at $79,200, according to checkonchain. This cohort, defined as investors holding coins for fewer than 155 days, tends to be more reactive to price swings. With spot prices below their average entry, these participants remain at a slight loss. Bitcoin tested the STHRP in mid-January around $98,000 and got rejected
A sustained move above this zone could shift both levels into support, strengthening bullish momentum. Conversely, failure to reclaim them may prolong bitcoin’s consolidation phase, with potential downside
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Alameda unstakes $16 million worth of Solana's SOL token, according to Arkham.
The latest move follows a familiar pattern: unstake coins and route them to addresses used to reimburse creditors. About a month ago, Alameda did the same, directing funds to the same distribution address. That prior move ultimately raised expectations that the funds were part of an ongoing creditor repayment process tied to the firm’s restructuring.
While there has been no formal confirmation that this specific tranche will be distributed imminently, the repetition of the pattern suggests continuity in the process rather than an isolated movement.
SOL, the native token of programmable blockchain Solana, has a market capitalization of $47.26 billion, which makes it the seventh-largest digital asset in the world. As of writing, SOL traded near $82, largely unchanged on a 24-hour basis, but down significantly from its all-time high of $293 hit in January last year.
Alameda, founded by Sam Bankman-Fried in 2017, began as a quantitative trading shop focused on arbitrage opportunities in digital assets, exploiting price differences across exchanges and markets.
At its peak, Alameda was a major liquidity provider across crypto markets and was deeply embedded in the ecosystem, trading billions in volume and operating across spot, derivatives, and structured products.
Alameda still holds about 3.5 million SOL worth $294.10 million, per Arkham.
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The boss of a global haulage firm has said the two-year lane closures on part of one of the south coast's busiest roads has cost the firm £2.4m.
National Highways' work to resurface the M27 between junction five at Eastleigh and junction seven at Hedge End first began in 2024. It fully reopened from 06:00 BST, although a temporary 50mph limit is expected to be in place until the end of June.
Speaking ahead of its reopening, Bob Terris, from the Southampton-based haulage firm Meachers Global Logistics, said he was "relieved" the "critical" route would be back up and running.
National Highways praised motorists' "patience" and said the works would create "smoother, quieter and safer" journeys.
Terris estimated the disruption had cost the company, which runs 60 lorries in the Southampton area each day, £2.4m.
We know exactly what it costs for the trucks, we know how much time we're losing - it's not rocket science, it's a lot of money," he said.We know exactly what it costs for the trucks, we know how much time we're losing - it's not rocket science, it's a lot of money," he said.
Terris, who began working at Meachers in 1962 and went on to own the company, welcomed the resurfacing project but bemoaned the economic impact.
It's reduced the productivity of the vehicles, so our costs are higher, and our revenues lower because we don't get paid if they're not moving," he explained.
It's not just the trucks, it's the admin, the telecom, the systems and everything [you have to do] to accommodate all this.
It's an absolutely huge thing, but we're only one company, just multiply this across the whole region and see how much it's costing."
Professional magician Darren Snelgar said the traffic caused by the roadworks had been a problem as he has been travelling to gigs
It's been a bit of a nightmare, with the traffic building up every night around about three, half-past three, so it's been a right pain," he said.
The two-year £83m project to upgrade the motorway, which runs between the New Forest and Portsmouth, first began in March 2024.
It came as part of a National Highways scheme to replace routes built using concrete with asphalt to reduce noise and ensure the road lasted longer.
It has also involved work to improve drainage and strengthen the central reservation.
Richard Scrase, programme delivery manager at National Highways, said they were "grateful" for motorists' "continued patience".
These improvements have created a smoother, quieter and safer journey for drivers, while helping the road last for generations to come," he added.
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The United States Army announced last month that it would raise the maximum age at which Americans can enlist from 35 to 42 years to expand its pool of eligible candidates amid recruiting challenges in recent years.
An updated version of US Army Regulation 601–210, dated March 20, outlined the changes, including the elimination of rules requiring anyone with a single conviction for marijuana possession or drug paraphernalia to obtain a waiver to enlist
Government data shows that while the US Army has met its recruitment goals over the last two years, it fell short in 2022 and 2023 and has consistently failed to meet targets for the Army Reserve, shortcomings that analysts have attributed to several possible factors
The new age limit was announced during the US-Israel war on Iran, towards which young people have expressed widespread opposition
Here’s what you need to know about the changes
The updated version of Army Regulation 601–210 officially takes effect on Monday, April 20
The US Army announced updated enlistment regulations on March 20, with the changes scheduled to take effect one month later on April 20 and applying to the Regular Army, Army Reserve, and Army National Guard.
The maximum enlistment age is raised from 35 to 42, and previous restrictions requiring anyone with a single conviction for possession of marijuana or drug paraphernalia to obtain a waiver to enlist are done away with
The changes announced in March are specific to the US Army
The military news outlet Stars and Stripes reported that those changes bring the army into greater alignment with the maximum enlistment age of other branches of the military, such as the Air Force, Navy, Coast Guard, and Space Force, which accept enlistees in their early 40s
While the US Army did not comment on the reasons for the increase, data from the US Army Recruiting Command show that the army has struggled with recruitment challenges
While the army met 100 percent of its recruitment goals in 2025 and 2024, it missed its target by about 23 percent in 2023 and 25 percent in 2022
That data also shows that the army has fallen short of recruitment targets for the Army Reserve for the last six years in a row
The average age of army recruits has risen in recent years to 22.7, up from 21.7 in the 2000s and 21.1 in the 2010s, according to the military news outlet Army Times, citing data from a US Army spokesperson
The US Army Recruiting Command has attributed such challenges to issues such as changes in the labour market, limited awareness about military service, and a lack of qualified young people due to issues such as obesity, drug use, and mental health issues
A 2018 poll listed concerns over possible injury and death, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), separation from family and friends, and other career interests as top reasons offered by young people for not joining the military
Data from the US Army Recruiting Command shows that about 80 percent of recruits in the Regular Army were men in 2025.
Black and Latino recruits also make up a larger share of army recruits than their percentage of the population, each making up about 27 percent of recruits while comprising 14 percent and 20 percent of the general population, according to data from the 2024 census
White people made up about 40 percent of US Army recruits, while about 57 percent of the general population.
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The strategic Strait of Hormuz was closed again amid the standoff between Iran and the United States, as the influential Iranian parliamentary speaker indicated that a conclusive peace agreement was still “far” away, even though talks made some headway
With mediators pressing on after high-level discussions in Pakistan failed to produce an accord, Tehran declared it would keep the vital maritime trade corridor closed until Washington lifts its blockade on Iranian ports.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warned that any attempt to pass through the strait without permission “will be considered cooperation with the enemy, and the offending vessel will be targeted”.
The current two-week ceasefire will expire on Wednesday unless it is extended.
US ⁠President ⁠Donald Trump has no justification to ⁠deprive Iran of its nuclear ⁠rights, the Iranian Students’ News Agency quoted Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian ‌as saying on Sunday, as Washington and Tehran continue to face disagreements over nuclear ⁠issues
Iran’s “valiant navy” is “ready to inflict new bitter defeats on its enemies”, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said on Saturday.
Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh dismissed Trump’s claims over the uranium and sounded a note of caution with regard to future talks between the two countries
“There is now a certain sense of frustration and uncertainty when it comes to the road ahead. We know that Iranians are very much worried, not only about the shadow of the war, but also about the element of surprise, even during this ceasefire,” Al Jazeera’s Tohid Asadi reported from Tehran
Minister of Education Alireza Kazemi has said the government does not have plans to resume “in-person education” at the moment
The Iranian Ministry of Science announced that in the “third imposed war,” 180 members of the academic community were killed, including 18 female students and one female university professor
The Tasnim News Agency, citing the deputy director of Iran’s Civil Aviation Organisation, said the country’s airspace would be reopened, with flights from east to west established gradually
The aviation authority said Iran will resume international flights on Monday from Mashhad airport in the country’s northeast
Iran is replenishing its missile and drone launchers at a ⁠higher speed than before the war started, Majid Mousavi, the Revolutionary Guard’s Aerospace Force commander, said
⁠Iran’s ⁠armed forces turned back two tankers attempting ⁠to transit the Strait ⁠of Hormuz after issuing warnings, semi-official Tasnim ‌news agency reported
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of the Iranian parliament, said in a televised address on Saturday night that there had been “progress” with Washington, “but there are many gaps and some fundamental points remain
discussion,” said Ghalibaf, one of Tehran’s negotiators in the talks aimed at ending the war launched by Israel and the US against Iran
Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif returned to Pakistan on Saturday from his visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkiye in advance of an expected second round of US-Iran talks
Egypt’s Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty said Cairo and Islamabad hoped to secure a final agreement “in the coming days”
⁠Turkey’s ⁠Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Sunday ⁠that both Iran and the United ⁠States had the will to continue talks to end the ‌war, and that he remained “optimistic” that the two-week ceasefire would be extended
Trump accused Iran of getting “a little cute” with its recent moves and warned Tehran not to try to “blackmail” Washington by flip-flopping on the strait
“We have very good conversations going on,” the president told reporters at the White House, adding that Washington was “taking a tough stand
The US military said it forced 23 ships to turn around near the Strait of Hormuz since it imposed a naval blockade of Iranian ports. In a post on X, the Central Command said US forces were still enforcing the blockade “against ships entering or exiting Iranian ports and coastal areas
The Israeli military said another soldier had been killed in combat in southern Lebanon, the second death announced in less than 12 hours
Israeli forces said they have established a so-called “yellow line” in southern Lebanon, similar to an Israeli military measure in the besieged Gaza Strip. Israel has also been accused of violating the terms of the ceasefire with Lebanon
More than 1,000 homes in Tel Aviv have been left uninhabitable by the recent war with Iran, the city’s mayor said on Saturday
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned Saturday’s attack that killed a French soldier serving with the UN mission UNIFIL in Lebanon
Naim Kassem, head of the Iran-backed Lebanese group Hezbollah, in a statement read on the group’s Al-Manar TV, said a paper published by the US Department of State, which he described as the text of a ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel, “means nothing at the practical level, but it is an insult to our country
Everyone knows that the government of Lebanon has not met or approved this statement,” he said
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Among them is XRP (XRP), the payments-focused token used by fintech firm Ripple to facilitate cross-border transactions. U.S.-listed spot XRP ETFs drew more than $17 million in inflows on Wednesday, the most since Feb. 2, according to data source SoSoValue. While that is smaller than the flows seen in bitcoin ETFs, it nonetheless points to a revival in demand for XRP after a prolonged period of muted activity marked by little to no uptake.
News flow has been encouraging, too. Ripple has partnered with Kyobo Life Insurance to pilot South Korea's first real-time tokenized government bond settlement system on blockchain
In addition, XRP's derivatives market is flashing bullish signals with open interest (OI) rising alongside positive funding rates and cumulative volume delta. The OI has jumped to 1.89 billion XRP, a level last seen in late March, per Coinglass data.
The other noteworthy development is stablecoin-focused layer-1 blockchain Plasma, which has emerged as the world's seventh-largest blockchain by total value locked (TVL), a measure of the dollar value of assets on the network.
At the time of writing, TVL stood at $2 billion, up 27% over the past week and more than 80% over the past 30 days, according to DeFiLlama. The driver behind the growth is not clear, but could be linked to rising optimism around the CLARITY Act nearing approval in the U.S., as noted by JPMorgan.
The act is a proposed U.S. bill that seeks to clarify how digital assets, including stablecoins, are regulated and which agencies oversee them.
In addition, Plasma is among a select group of networks, alongside Ethereum and Arbitrum, chosen to support Tether's new self-custody wallet, Tether Wallet, announced earlier this week
Lastly, there is
DOGE
$0.09765
, the meme-inspired token. Bollinger Bands, volatility indicators plotted two standard deviations above and below the token's price, are currently at their tightest since February 2024, typically signaling a period of low volatility that is likely to end with significant price swi
As for the market leader, bitcoin, the combination of onchain profit-taking, uneven spot demand, and cautious options suggests continued rangeplay near $75,000. Stay alert
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The Indian government is seeking to expedite the implementation of a 2023 law that reserves 33 percent of seats in parliament and state assemblies for women, but has linked the move to a sweeping redrawing of parliamentary constituencies, sharpening political tensions.
We’re set to take historic steps to empower women,” Prime Minister Narendra Modi said before a special sitting of parliament on Thursday as his government introduced three bills to be debated in the Lok Sabha, the lower house of parliament.
While two of the three bills relate to extending the number of women in parliament and state assemblies, a third bill relates to “delimitation”, as the process to redraw parliamentary boundaries based on population is called in India. The bill aims to increase the overall size of parliament from 543 Lok Sabha seats to 850
The bills are being taken up during a three-day special session and will require a two-thirds majority in both houses to pass. Modi’s National Democratic Alliance (NDA) holds 293 seats in lower house of parliament while a two-thirds majority would require 360 votes
Women currently account for 14 percent of the Lok Sabha members. “We are all united to give rightful positions to women in India,” Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju said on Thursday
Several Asian countries, including India’s neighbours like Nepal and Bangladesh, have similar quotas for women in national legislatures. India already mandates that one-third of seats be set aside for women in local governing bodies
But the opposition was not convinced. Some members from southern states turned up in parliament dressed in black as a mark of protest.
MK Stalin, chief minister of the southern state of Tamil Nadu and a rival to the BJP, burned a copy of the bill and raised a black flag in protest, urging people across the state to do the same.
“Let the flames of resistance spread across Tamil Nadu,” Stalin said, accusing the BJP of trying to marginalise the state through redrawn boundaries. “Let the arrogance of the fascist BJP be brought down
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A haulier is calling for government support as rising fuel prices caused by conflict in the Middle East drive up operating costs.
Matt Prewett, network operations manager at Hawks Haulage in Leicester, said the cost of filling up a lorry with diesel had shot up by about £300 since March
And while customers are "understanding" of the situation, he said Hawks has had no choice but to pass on some of the rising cost of doing business, and firms need the government to "step in
The government told the BBC it has extended the five‑pence fuel duty cut twice, until September, and will continue to monitor the situation.
The cost of fuel has seen sharp increases globally since the US and Israel launched wide-ranging strikes on Iran on 28 February
The RAC said the average price of petrol was up 25.5p a litre since the start of the war, while diesel had risen by 49p, with both at their most expensive level in more than three years.
It said petrol pump prices had risen for 43 consecutive days - although wholesale prices had begun to fall, predicting prices could begin to lower for customers
Prewett said fuel costs were having a "massive effect" on day-to-day operations transporting goods across the country
He said: "Before the increase, we were looking at between £400 and £500 pounds to fill a truck. Now we're close to £700 to fill a truck
"A certain percentage of that we've had no choice but to pass on to the customers. We've taken a big hit ourselves, but we have had to pass some of these increases on.
"We do have some really loyal and understanding customers, and with the diesel increase being in the press, everybody's aware of it. Everybody notices it when they go and fill their own personal cars up, so they do understand that we have had to pass some of this increase on to them
Some tax relief on fuel prices would be a massive help. We need the government to step in and help out
A government spokesperson said: "Motorists are paying more because of the war in Iran. This is not our war, and that is why we did not join it.
"We are determined to keep costs down for motorists. That's why we have extended the 5p fuel duty cut twice until September and will continue to monitor the situation
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South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa has appointed Roelf Meyer, who served in the last government of the apartheid era, as his new ambassador to the US, his office has said.
The country has not had a top envoy in the US since Ebrahim Rasool was expelled last year after he accused President Donald Trump of trying to "project white victimhood as a dog whistle".
This worsened already strained relations between the nations, which took a downward spiral after Trump's return to office last year.
Ramaphosa's spokesperson Vincent Magwenya confirmed Meyer's appointment to the BBC, saying it would be "immediate".
"I can confirm that President Cyril Ramaphosa has appointed Meyer as South Africa's ambassador to the US," he said
Meyer, 78, played a key role as one of the chief mediators, alongside Ramaphosa, during the talks to end the racist system of white-minority rule known as apartheid in South Africa in the 1990s
He was the chief representative of the National Party (NP), which introduced apartheid, while Ramaphosa represented the African National Congress led by Nelson Mandela.
Meyer was constitutional affairs minister in the last NP government and went on to join the government of national unity formed in 1994 when Mandela became president
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