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One of the biggest mysteries of the global economy is why the oil market has remained so calm during one of the greatest supply shocks in history.
The Strait of Hormuz has been paralyzed by three months of war — a nightmare scenario that few thought was possible before the war with Iran started. Visible traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains sparse, estimated at just 15% of pre-war levels, according to JPMorgan.
One theory is that a surprisingly large amount of crude is escaping the double blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, helping the global energy system absorb the historic shock. Tankers carrying these so-called “clandestine flows” may be dodging the blockade by turning off transponders to avoid detection, experts told CNN.
JPMorgan estimated that clandestine flows amounted to about 2.1 million barrels per day over the final two weeks of May. That would represent a small but notable chunk of the 15.6 million barrels that flowed through the Strait of Hormuz per day before the war.
Despite the ongoing naval blockade and the steep decline in commercial traffic, surprising volumes of crude and petroleum products still appear to be transiting the Strait,” Natasha Kaneva, JPMorgan’s head of global commodities strategy, wrote in a client note last week.
Taken together, these adjustments help explain why prices near $100 are not signaling that the disruption is small,” Kaneva wrote. “Rather, they are signaling that the market has found ways — albeit costly ones — to absorb it.”
Some oil veterans worry the market, lulled by these workarounds, is underestimating the real-world impact.
Commercial oil stockpiles have declined sharply since the war started. America’s emergency pile of crude, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, is rapidly heading toward the lowest level since the early 1980s.
Things are going to get worse,” said Stuart of Piper Sandler.
If that forecast is right, it implies gas prices will surge above $5 a gallon this summer, compared with around $4.20 today.
Stuart is forecasting Brent will average $130 a barrel in July and August.
Stuart suspects higher oil prices will need to rise quickly to incentivize further emergency oil releases and to encourage the world to consume less.
You’ll need to persuade people. That’s far easier to do when prices are high,” he said.
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Wall Street and payment giants are quietly taking over Solana, moving billions onto the network for tokenized funds and global payments even as the broader crypto market cools down, according to a new report by Messari.
The research firm said Monday that Solana’s real-world asset market capitalization rose 43% quarter-over-quarter to $2.01 billion, led by growth in BlackRock’s tokenized money market fund BUIDL and new integrations tied to payments and tokenized finance.
BUIDL, developed by BlackRock and Securitize, grew to $525.4 million on Solana after Anchorage Digital added custody support for the fund. Anchorage held roughly 81% of the asset’s supply on the network by the end of the quarter, Messari said.
The report framed Solana as increasingly becoming infrastructure for tokenized finance rather than only a hub for speculative crypto trading.
Several traditional financial firms expanded activity tied to Solana during the quarter. Ondo Finance launched more than 200 tokenized stocks and ETFs on the network through Ondo Global Markets, while Franklin Templeton partnered with Ondo to bring tokenized ETF products onchain. Citigroup also completed a proof-of-concept for tokenized trade finance on Solana with PwC.
Messari said firms including Visa, Stripe, Worldpay, Western Union and PayPal either integrated Solana for stablecoin settlement or launched Solana-native payment products over the past year. The report said Solana’s low fees and near-instant settlement times have made it increasingly attractive for payment infrastructure.
Stablecoin market capitalization on Solana ended the quarter at $14.85 billion, ranking the network third among blockchains. Adjusted stablecoin transfer volume rose 13% quarter-over-quarter to $246.8 billion.
Despite falling crypto prices, Solana’s onchain activity remained resilient. Solana’s total application revenue, which Messari refers to as “Chain GDP,” held roughly flat at $342.2 million during the quarter.
Still, Messari argued the nature of activity on Solana is changing. The report pointed to rising adoption of high-speed trading infrastructure known as “Prop AMMs,” which it said are beginning to outperform centralized exchanges on execution quality and trading costs.
Messari also described Solana’s upcoming Alpenglow upgrade as one of the network’s most significant technical developments. The upgrade is expected to reduce transaction finality times from roughly 12.8 seconds to about 150 milliseconds. The firm said those performance gains could strengthen Solana’s position in payments, tokenized finance and AI-driven applications.
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As Abra prepares for a Nasdaq debut, CEO Bill Barhydt is betting tokenized yield products and onchain lending will drive the next phase of crypto wealth management.
Eight years later, as the company prepares to go public through a merger with SPAC New Providence Acquisition Corp. III, he said he believes the industry is entering an entirely new phase.
The deal, announced in March, values Abra at $750 million and will see the combined company renamed Abra Financial Inc., with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker ABRX, subject to regulatory approvals.
Today, Abra operates as an asset tokenization and distribution platform under its parent company, Abra Financial Holdings.
The distribution side centers on Abra Capital Management, an SEC-registered investment adviser that serves high-net-worth individuals, ultra-high-net-worth clients and institutions. Through the platform, clients can access digital asset investment strategies, yield products, staking and collateralized lending.
AbraFi, the tokenization arm, is focused on creating tokenized financial products on the Solana blockchain in partnership with a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Its flagship offering, USDAF, is a yield-bearing dollar-denominated asset that has attracted growing interest from institutions and wealthy investors, according to Barhydt.
The company plans to expand that lineup in coming months with BTCAF, a bitcoin-based yield product that will be available to advisory clients and, outside the U.S., retail investors. Barhydt says investors should expect a growing range of tokenized yield products built around digital assets.
That narrative, he says, is resonating with institutional investors because it connects crypto infrastructure to broader financial markets. Anything that can be pledged as collateral in traditional finance can eventually be represented onchain and used in decentralized lending markets.
As Abra works through the final stages of its public listing process, Barhydt sees the company positioned at the intersection of those trends: tokenization, yield generation and digital asset wealth management.
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Indian fashion-to-beauty retailer Nykaa reported a near four-fold jump in quarterly profit on Thursday, supported by strong demand for skincare and makeup products and improving momentum in its fashion business.
The company posted a profit of 783.8 million rupees ($8.2 million) for the quarter ended March 31, compared with 202.8 million rupees a year earlier.
Nykaa said its consolidated gross merchandise value growth for Q4 FY2026 is expected to be in the late twenties, while consolidated net sales value growth is projected to be in the early thirties.
Consolidated net revenue growth is also expected to remain in the late twenties, marking the company’s highest growth rate in the last 12 quarters.
The company attributed the strong quarterly performance to accelerated growth in its fashion vertical and sustained momentum in its beauty segment.
Nykaa said its consolidated NSV growth for the full FY2026 is expected to accelerate to the late twenties, compared with mid-twenties growth recorded over the last two years.
The company added that FY2026 net revenue growth is expected to improve to the upper end of the mid-twenties range, reflecting healthy performance across all business verticals.
Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia, Nykaa said there was no material impact on business during the quarter.
The company noted that its Middle East exposure currently remains below 1% of overall revenue, as operations in the region are still at an early stage.
Founded in 2012 by Falguni Nayar, Nykaa has expanded beyond beauty into fashion and B2B operations through platforms including Nykaa Fashion, Nykaa Man, and Nykaa Superstore.
Nykaa said it served 52 million customers as of December 31, 2025, through its digital platforms and offline beauty destinations.
Its portfolio of owned brands includes Nykaa Cosmetics, Dot & Key, Kay Beauty, Nykaa Wanderlust, Earth Rhythm, and several fashion labels, including Nykd by Nykaa, KICA, RSVP, and Gajra Gang.
The company added that international brands such as CHANEL, H&M, and Foot Locker continue to partner with Nykaa to expand their presence in the Indian market.
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The London Stock Exchange (LSEG) share price has pulled back in the past few weeks, moving from the April high of 10,120p to the current 9,162p. This retreat will likely be brief as the company’s fundamentals are still strong and it has slowly formed the bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.
The daily chart shows that the LSEG stock price has pulled back from its April high of 10,010p to the current 9,162p. A closer look shows that it is slowly forming the highly bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.
This pattern’s neckline is at 10,010p, while the left and right shoulders are at around 8,065p, its lowest swing in September last year. The head is at the year-to-date low of 6,630p.
A H&S pattern is one of the most common bullish reversal signs in technical analysis. Its price target is estimated by measuring the distance between the neckline and the head, and then extrapolating it from the neckline.
In this case, the distance between the two is about 34%. Measuring the same distance from the neckline gives it a target of 13,440p. If this happens, it means that the stock will jump by 47% from the current level.
On the other hand, a drop below the shoulder section of 8,084p will invalidate the bullish outlook and point to further downside.
Still, this pattern has formed on the daily chart, which is normally slower than shorter-timeframe charts like the hourly and four-hour charts. This means that it may take time, possibly months for the stock to jump to the target level.
Fundamentally, the London Stock Exchange’s business is sending mixed signals. On the negative side, the UK continues to experience an IPO drought. No major company has gone public at the bourse this year.
In contrast, the US markets are booming, with SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI set to go public. Combined, these companies are now valued at about $4 trillion, higher than the UK’s GDP.
On the positive side, the company’s finances are still growing, helped by its data and analytics business. The most recent results showed that its total revenue jumped by 9.8% in the first quarter. Its data and analytics business grew by 5.1%, while FTSE Russell, Risk Intelligence, and Markets grew by 8.8%, 10.5%, and 15.5%, respectively.
Most notably, the company’s subscriptions business is doing well, with its combined growth reaching 6.3%. This is important as some analysts have been concerned that some of its businesses will be disrupted by advanced AI models.
On the positive side, the company’s finances are still growing, helped by its data and analytics business. The most recent results showed that its total revenue jumped by 9.8% in the first quarter. Its data and analytics business grew by 5.1%, while FTSE Russell, Risk Intelligence, and Markets grew by 8.8%, 10.5%, and 15.5%, respectively.
London Stock Exchange’s EBITDA margin continued to improve, helping the management to continue its shareholder returns. It has returned over 4.2 billion to shareholders in the past few years, a substantial amount for a company with a market capitalization of over 42.62 billion.
Still, a major challenge the company faces is that it is quite overvalued. It has a price-to-earnings ratio of 34, much higher than faster-growing companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft. As such, the management will need to supercharge its growth and profits over time.
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"$OPEN USDT is showing intense market momentum as trading volume surges heavily across top global exchanges. Strong buying pressure is steadily pushing the price higher, forming a solid bullish pattern on the daily chart. If this upward trajectory sustains, a clean breakout above the major psychological resistance could trigger a massive rally towards new highs. However, crypto markets are highly volatile, so strict risk management is very essential. Watch the daily volume closely for confirmation."$OPEN
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Diversification is a fundamental principle of any investment strategy. Yet in a rapidly changing economic world, traditional tools are reaching their limits. Cryptocurrencies offer a credible alternative, provided they are supported by a secure and suitable framework.
For a long time, balanced portfolios relied on a mix of stocks, bonds, and cash. This model, seen as robust, helped reduce risk by leveraging market cycles. But recent years have challenged this approach.
Geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation, interest rate volatility, and macroeconomic uncertainty have raised questions about traditional indices like the S&P 500 or Nasdaq. Moreover, the strong correlation between certain asset classes has diminished the benefits of diversification.
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Sam Carling is the Baby of the House of Commons – the UK's youngest MP.
He won his North West Cambridgeshire seat aged 22, as part of Labour's landslide victory in 2024.
But despite being part of Sir Keir Starmer's historic win, he was among more than 80 of his party's MPs to call for the prime minister to quit - or set out a timetable for his departure.
Maria Banulus, 39, from Yaxley, says: "He probably should go."
I feel like we've had too many prime ministers that actually haven't gone down with a general election - they've been outed," she adds.
"I don't actually know who the other options are, I heard Angela Rayner, but I really don't know
I know he's been criticised for many things that he's done wrong and things that he's had to back-track on
Jane Maxwell, 59, voted Green in the last general election.
Her message to Starmer is: "I think you should leave and let somebody else be the leader of the country."
She would like the new leader to have "more left views". She does not want them, whoever it is, to allow Trump to use any UK airbases for his conflict with Iran.
"I think he's too close with Trump, and that I don't like at all."
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Iran's foreign minister visits Islamabad, fueling speculation on renewed peace talks
Peru faces electoral uncertainty as probe targets ex-chief electoral official
Brazil's central bank expected to cut rates next week
LatAm assets broadly headed for weekly losses
April 24 (Reuters) - Currencies and stocks of Latin American economies ​dipped on Friday with investors awaiting updates on Middle East talks, while also monitoring electoral developments in Peru
Global markets have been fraught ‌with volatility this week as initial hope that a peace deal could be reached between Iran and the U.S. did not materialize, even as the ceasefire between all adversaries was extended.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad on Friday, the venue for past peace talks with the United States, although there were no clear signs that he would meet with ​U.S. negotiators there.
Crude prices, a key driver for markets, wavered and were last at $105 a barrel as shipments through the strategic Strait of Hormuz ​remained thin.
In Latin America, Brazil's real led gains with a 0.4% rise, while Chile's peso firmed 0.2% and the pesos ⁠of Colombia and Mexico were steady.
MSCI's broader LatAm currencies index (.MILA00000CUS), opens new tab was on track for weekly declines - its first since the first week of March - as ​investors flocked to the safe-haven dollar.
A corresponding gauge for equities (.MILA00000PUS), opens new tab was down 0.6% at over two-week lows and set for weekly losses
Peru's former chief ​electoral official, who resigned this week amid mounting criticism over delays in counting votes from the April 12 general election, is now under investigation as part of a broader probe into alleged electoral irregularities, with police raiding his home to collect evidence.
The sol weakened 0.5% and was on track for its second straight week in the red, as investors weighed what ​the investigation could mean for the election results now expected in May.
Conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori currently leads, with left‑wing lawmaker Roberto Sanchez and former Lima ​mayor Rafael Lopez Aliaga in a tight race for second place. A run-off is anticipated in June.
MSCI's index tracking Peruvian equities (.MIPE00000PUS), opens new tab was little changed on Friday and was set ‌for its ⁠second straight week of losses, while international bonds maturing next year were on track for their third straight week of declines.
We expect the U.S. to continue strengthening its ties in Latin America to bolster its geopolitical influence," said Gillian Edgeworth, fixed-income portfolio manager at Wellington Management, while also adding that some countries in the region could benefit from higher commodity prices due to the Middle East conflict.
Meanwhile, data showed that Mexico's economic activity expanded slightly in February but missed expectations, extending ​its rough patch since the start ​of the year.
Uncertainty prevails over the ⁠central bank's next policy move alongside the outcome of United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement negotiations expected to start next month.
There is progress in the review, but the process is unlikely to be smooth. Recent headlines suggest Mexico will continue facing unilateral tariffs ​in the auto, steel, and aluminum industries despite reaching a deal," Citigroup economists said in a note
The country's equities ​index (.MXX), opens new tab gained 0.9% on ⁠Friday, while benchmarks in Chile (.SPIPSA), opens new tab and Argentina (.MERV), opens new tab were up 1.6% and 0.3%, respectively
Meanwhile, Brazil's finance minister told Reuters that the country's planned critical mineral rules do not involve fresh tax breaks. He added that critical minerals would be a priority in a May or June auction for the Eco Invest program, which offers blended finance to ⁠lure foreign ​investment.
A key event next week will be an interest rate decision in Brazil, with economists projecting a cut ​by a quarter of a percentage point. The Bovespa index (.BVSP), opens new tab slipped 0.5% and is on track for weekly losses
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