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Additionally, a Saturday N12 News report stated that Israel’s security establishment had located missile launchers aimed at Israel, poised to strike if a ceasefire wasn't reached with Lebanon.
Iran claimed it is replenishing its missile and drone launchers at a higher speed than it did prior to the war with the US and Israel, the Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Force commander, Majid Mousavi, said in a video shared on social media on Sunday, according to Nournews.
They have lost this phase of the war! They have lost the Strait, Lebanon, and the region," Mousavi said.
Mousavi's statement was shared alongside an edited video of him inspecting an unspecified underground missile facility. The video also included footage of drones, missiles, and launchers inside underground facilities as well as ground missile launches.
Mousavi also claimed that "Unlike Iran, the enemy has been unable to replenish its ammunition during the ceasefire."
While neither the US nor Israel has officially responded to these claims, a Saturday N12 News report stated that Israel’s security establishment had located missile launchers aimed at Israel, poised to strike if a ceasefire wasn't reached between Israel and Lebanon
The threat from Iran was the motivation for US President Donald Trump's increased pressure on Israel to come to an agreement with Lebanon, and hisFriday announcement that Israel is prohibited from “bombing Lebanon any longer,” according to the N12 report.
Israel and the US are also preparing for the possibility that war will resume with Iran, as tensions over the Strait of Hormuz threaten peace negotiations, a source told the Israeli news outlet. The IDF has reportedly approved a list of targets for attack, focusing on national infrastructure and energy. The military is also planning operations that, if implemented, would continue toward the goals from the previous round of fighting.
Israel was surprised by Trump’s announcement that the IDF is “prohibited” from continuing strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, according to a Saturday Axios report
The report noted that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was “personally stunned and alarmed” by the post, and that Israeli officials sought clarification from the White House
This comes after Trump posted on Truth Social that Israel was prohibited from “bombing Lebanon any longer,” and that the US will work with Lebanon separately and “deal with the Hezbollah situation in an appropriate manner.”
The language implied that Trump was directly issuing an order to Israel, which would be unimaginable under other presidential administrations, Axios noted.
Notably, according to the ceasefire agreement, Israel still has the right to take military action during the ceasefire, “in self-defense, at any time, against planned, imminent, or ongoing attacks.”
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A French soldier serving with the United Nations peacekeeping mission in Lebanon has been killed, and three others were wounded in an attack that UNIFIL and French officials said was likely carried out by Hezbollah.
Three other members of the peacekeeping mission were wounded in the attack in the village of Ghandouriyeh in southern Lebanon, UNIFIL said on Saturday, two of them seriously.
UNIFIL noted that initial assessments indicated they came from non-state actors, allegedly Hezbollah, and that an investigation had been launched into what it called “a deliberate attack”
In calls with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, French President Emmanuel Macron condemned the “unacceptable attack”, his office said in a statement on Saturday
Macron also said the evidence so far pointed to the Lebanese armed group and urged the Lebanese government to act against those responsible.
The Iran-aligned armed group rejected the allegations, calling for “exercising caution in issuing judgements regarding the incident”
“We deny any connection to us with the incident that occurred with UNIFIL forces in the Ghandouriyeh area in Bint Jbeil,” Hezbollah said in a statement.
French Armed Forces Minister Catherine Vautrin said the patrol was ambushed while on a mission to open a route to a UNIFIL post that had been isolated by fighting in the area. The soldier was killed by direct small-arms fire, she said.
Lebanon’s army condemned the shooting and said it had opened an investigation
President Aoun has also offered condolences and ordered an immediate probe, while Prime Minister Salam condemned the attack.
The deadly incidents come just days after an Israel-Lebanon 10-day ceasefire took effect and days before a truce in the United States-Israel war on Iran was set to expire.
Lebanon was drawn into the war in early March after Hezbollah fired rockets towards Israel in response to the US-Israeli killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28. Israel responded with a devastating bombing campaign and a ground invasion that killed more than 2,000 people and forced more than 1.2 million others from their homes
The declaration of a ceasefire in Lebanon was seen as a boost to efforts for an agreement to end the US-Israel war on Iran. Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said fighting between Israel and Hezbollah had been a key sticking point in US-Iran talks last weekend in Islamabad.
It was not clear whether Hezbollah would abide by a truce it did not play a role in negotiating, especially when it leaves Israeli troops occupying a stretch of southern Lebanon.
UNIFIL, the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, was first deployed in 1978 along the border between Israel and Lebanon and has remained through successive conflicts, including a 2024 war during which its positions came under repeated fire.
Last month, two UN peacekeepers were killed in southern Lebanon amid Israel’s ground invasion of the country. UNFIL said they were killed when an explosion of unknown origin destroyed their vehicle.
World leaders have condemned the escalating violence and attacks on peacekeepers.
Last month, in a post on X, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called on all parties to the war to abide by international law and ensure the security of all UN personnel.
This is just one of a number of recent incidents that have jeopardized the safety & security of peacekeepers,” Guterres had said.
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Islamabad, Pakistan – Standing on the South Lawn of the White House before boarding his helicopter for Las Vegas on Thursday, United States President Donald Trump offered his most optimistic assessment yet of the war with Iran
“We’re very close to making a deal with Iran,” he told reporters. “They’ve totally agreed to that [no nuclear weapons]. They’ve agreed to almost everything, so maybe if they can get to the table, there’s a difference
He went further, saying Iran had agreed to hand over its stockpile of enriched uranium, material that, if further enriched, can be used to build a nuclear weapon
They’ve agreed to give us back the nuclear dust that’s way underground because of the attack we made with the B-2 bombers,” he said, referring to US strikes in June last year.
deal, he added, could come “over the weekend”. Trump said he would consider travelling to Islamabad himself if an agreement was signed there. “If the deal is signed in Islamabad, I might go. They want me to go
Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs presented a different picture. Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed that messages were being exchanged through Pakistan, but was unequivocal on enrichment
Iran, he said, “based on its needs, must be able to continue enrichment”. No Iranian official has confirmed agreeing to surrender the country’s enriched uranium stockpile. Tehran’s public position, that enrichment is a sovereign right, remains unchanged.
Asif Durrani, a former Pakistani diplomat who served as Islamabad’s ambassador to Tehran from 2016 to 2018, said framing the situation as a gap between the two sides was misleading
“There are no gaps, really. If Trump has read the NPT, he would know that every country has the right to access nuclear technology for peaceful purposes,” he told Al Jazeera. “Iran has said multiple times that it does not want a weapon. What it wants is civil nuclear use, within the framework of both the NPT and the JCPOA
Durrani attributed the shift to changing realities on the ground.
The US was dictated to by Israel. It was Israel that pushed the US into this war,” he said.
“But now Israel has had a shock, and the US has also come to realise that it all comes down to the endurance of your opponent. Iran has demonstrated that endurance, it has shown it can sustain the pain,” the former envoy said.
He added that despite its military power, the US was unwilling to deploy ground troops. “That kind of staying power is not something you find on the US and Israeli side.”
The April 22 deadline now looms over the process.
Speaking in Las Vegas on Thursday evening, Trump said the war was going “swimmingly” and would “end pretty soon”, adding that talks could resume “over the weekend”.
Whether a second round materialises in Islamabad, and what minimum understanding the two sides might accept, remains unclear
Khan said any agreement may hinge on deliberate ambiguity.
“Both sides need a ‘win’ on the nuclear issue, and something they can sell to their respective public,” she said.
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Gaza City, Gaza Strip – In her makeshift canvas tent, Inaam al-Dahdouh sits with her six grandchildren, turning over a photograph of her three sons, detained two years ago in the first few months of Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza.
As Palestinian Prisoners’ Day is marked on Friday, the 62-year-old mother finds herself living a different kind of pain this year
It is no longer only the anguish of imprisonment and separation, but a looming fear shaped by new and uncertain scenarios following the approval of an Israeli law allowing the execution of Palestinian prisoners in late March 2026.
Palestinians mark Palestinian Prisoners’ Day annually on April 17. This year, it comes amid an unprecedented surge in the number of detainees and worsening conditions
According to prisoners’ advocacy groups, more than 9,600 Palestinians are currently held in Israeli prisons as of early April 2026, compared with about 5,250 before the war – an increase of nearly 83 percent. They include 350 children, and more than 3,530 administrative detainees held without charge
More than 100 prisoners have also died in custody since the war began in October 2023, amid reports of a severe deterioration in detention conditions
But now the fear is that Israel will attempt to execute Palestinian prisoners. The Israeli parliament passed a law on March 30 allowing the death penalty to be implemented, but only against those convicted in a military court of killing Israelis
In practice, that means West Bank Palestinians, as Israelis are tried in civilian courts, but there is also discussion of a separate tribunal for Palestinians from Gaza, for which the Israeli right-wing is likely to push the use of the death penalty
“I raise them and teach them the Quran,” she says, explaining that she keeps herself occupied with this as a gift for Mahmoud, who would be happy to see his children memorising the Quran, as he had wished before his detention
For Inaam, the only solution for her sons and all prisoners is what she describes as a “global stance” to pressure Israel to reverse what she calls unjust decisions against prisoners
“A prisoner has the right to live, the right to dignity … what is happening to prisoners is something insane … something the human mind cannot comprehend
The whole world should reject this,” she says.
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The International Energy Agency (IEA), a global energy watchdog, with several of the wealthiest countries as member nations, has announced the largest release of government oil reserves in its history, two weeks after the United States and Israel started their war on Iran with strikes on Tehran.
In retaliatory attacks, Tehran has launched strikes on Israel as well as US military assets and energy facilities in Gulf countries, and has closed the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery in the global oil supply chain, driving up crude prices to more than $100 per barrel.
“The war in the Middle East is creating the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market,” the IEA said in its monthly market report.
While the IEA’s 32 member nations appeared hesitant earlier in the week to tap into the strategic reserves, they ultimately announced they would release nearly 400 million barrels of emergency crude. That’s one-third of the grouping’s total holding of 1.2 billion barrels of government reserves
Previously, IEA member nations have released oil from emergency reserves five times: During the 1990-1991 Gulf War; after Hurricane Katrina in 2005; during the Libyan civil war in 2011; and twice after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
But is this latest release sufficient to calm down the disrupted market?
The energy watchdog argued that the supply shock triggered by Iran’s strikes on cargo vessels and its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz meant energy markets are facing a worse crisis than during the Gulf War of 1991 and Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine
Before the US and Israel attacked Tehran – and assassinated Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – on February 28, Brent crude was trading at about $65 per barrel. Now, it is above $100, and Iranian leaders have warned countries that it will not allow “one litre of oil” to pass the Hormuz Strait if attacks continue, and that the price could go above $200 per barrel
Earlier this week, former IMF economist Olivier Blanchard was quoted by news outlet Business Insider that this could be possible if tankers carrying oil cannot be protected from Iranian attacks. “I find it hard not to have as a central scenario where oil prices will remain very high for a long time, higher than the market current prices,” Blanchard said on Thursday.
The IEA’s announcement of a plan to release 400 million barrels of oil is much higher than the 2022 release of 182 million barrels of oil by the group’s members after Russia invaded Ukraine
“Energy security is the founding mandate of the IEA, and I am pleased that IEA members are showing strong solidarity in taking decisive action together,” said Fatih Birol, executive director of the Paris-based IEA
Birol applauded the member nations’ decision to contribute to the release from their strategic reserves. “This is a major action aiming to alleviate the immediate impacts of the disruption in markets,” Birol said. “But, to be clear, the most important thing for a return to stable flows of oil and gas is the resumption of transit through the Strait of Hormuz
About one-fifth of the world’s oil is transported through the Strait of Hormuz. That’s more than 20 million barrels daily on average. And coordinated IEA releases are usually spread over weeks or months, meaning only a portion of the 400 million planned barrels will be released in the short term
The US Treasury issued a 30-day waiver allowing countries to purchase sanctioned Russian oil that was already loaded and at sea, amounting to roughly 100 million barrels, in an effort to quickly add supply to global markets.
The administration is also considering temporarily waiving the Jones Act, a US maritime law requiring goods shipped between domestic ports to be carried on US-built and US-crewed vessels, aiming to ease domestic supply bottlenecks
However, a White House spokesperson said this has not been finalised yet.
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American rapper David Anthony Burke, known by his stage name d4vd, has been arrested on suspicion of murdering a 14-year-old girl whose dismembered body was found in a car registered to him.
Los Angeles police took the 21-year-old singer into custody on Thursday “for the murder of Celeste Rivas”, the city’s police department said in a statement. He is being held without bail.
Burke’s arrest comes seven months after police uncovered Rivas’s badly decomposed body in the trunk of an impounded Tesla registered in his name
Investigators found two black bags in the vehicle – one holding a decomposed head and torso and the other containing other body parts, according to a court filing. An autopsy revealed that Rivas “appeared to have been deceased inside the vehicle for an extended period of time before being found”. The discovery occurred one day before Rivas would have turned 15.
The LA County District Attorney’s office will review the case against Burke on Monday for formal charges, according to police
Burke’s lawyers issued a statement saying they would “vigorously defend” his “innocence”.
us be clear – the actual evidence in this case will show that David Burke did not murder Celeste Rivas Hernandez and he was not the cause of her death,” lawyers Blair Berk, Marilyn Bednarski and Regina Peter said in a statement quoted by NBC News.
Burke, from Queens, New York, shot to internet fame in 2022 when his Romantic Homicide became a breakout hit on TikTok
Last year, the musician cancelled the last part of his US and European tours amid growing fallout from the investigation into Rivas’s death
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Japan has eased its arms export rules, breaking with eight decades of pacifist foreign policy.
The announcement by Tokyo comes as Washington’s allies ramp up their military spending, as trust in US President Donald Trump declines, with him wavering on security commitments to allies and the wars in Iran and Ukraine
Japan’s announcement also comes just months after it announced a record-high new defence budget
Late last year, Japan’s government approved a record defence budget of more than 9 trillion yen ($58bn) for 2026, reflecting a push to strengthen military and coastal defences amid rising global tensions
Will Japan’s arms industry gain from all this?
Under the new budget, more than 970 billion yen ($6.2bn) is earmarked to enhance Japan’s “standoff” missile capabilities. This includes 177 billion yen ($1.13bn) for the purchase of domestically produced and upgraded Type-12 surface-to-ship missiles, which have an estimated range of about 1,000km (620 miles).
The new budget forms part of a broader 122.3 trillion yen ($784bn) national budget for the fiscal year beginning in April 2026. The increase also marks the fourth year of Japan’s five-year effort to increase defence spending to 2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).
Besides a higher defence budget, this week Tokyo announced it would ease restrictions on its arms sales, after decades of isolation from the global arms markets since World War II
This means that defence companies in the country will be able to supply arms to other nations.
According to a Reuters news agency report on Monday, Japan’s key defence contractors, Toshiba and Mitsubishi Electric, said they are hiring staff and adding capacity to capitalise on demand for arms
Countries such as the Philippines and Poland are expected to become customers of Japanese arms.
In recent years, Japan and the Philippines have deepened military ties, with Tokyo agreeing to supply patrol boats and radio gear to Manila.
Two Japanese officials told Reuters that one of the first deals Takaichi’s government will likely approve are exports of used frigates to the Philippines, which is locked in maritime confrontation with Beijing in the South China Sea.
Meanwhile, Mariusz Boguszewski, deputy chief of mission at Poland’s embassy in Japan, told Reuters that Japanese arms could help Warsaw to plug gaps in its arsenal, as well as cooperate in anti-drone and electronic warfare systems
It has not been uncommon for the US to praise its allies for boosting their own defence budgets. It has, in fact, been one of the consistent demands of the Trump administration, especially to Washington’s NATO allies
Last June, NATO also pledged to boost its defence spending target to 5 percent of GDP. Washington welcomed the move and called it a success story
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The Indian government is seeking to expedite the implementation of a 2023 law that reserves 33 percent of seats in parliament and state assemblies for women, but has linked the move to a sweeping redrawing of parliamentary constituencies, sharpening political tensions.
We’re set to take historic steps to empower women,” Prime Minister Narendra Modi said before a special sitting of parliament on Thursday as his government introduced three bills to be debated in the Lok Sabha, the lower house of parliament.
While two of the three bills relate to extending the number of women in parliament and state assemblies, a third bill relates to “delimitation”, as the process to redraw parliamentary boundaries based on population is called in India. The bill aims to increase the overall size of parliament from 543 Lok Sabha seats to 850
The bills are being taken up during a three-day special session and will require a two-thirds majority in both houses to pass. Modi’s National Democratic Alliance (NDA) holds 293 seats in lower house of parliament while a two-thirds majority would require 360 votes
Women currently account for 14 percent of the Lok Sabha members. “We are all united to give rightful positions to women in India,” Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju said on Thursday
Several Asian countries, including India’s neighbours like Nepal and Bangladesh, have similar quotas for women in national legislatures. India already mandates that one-third of seats be set aside for women in local governing bodies
But the opposition was not convinced. Some members from southern states turned up in parliament dressed in black as a mark of protest.
MK Stalin, chief minister of the southern state of Tamil Nadu and a rival to the BJP, burned a copy of the bill and raised a black flag in protest, urging people across the state to do the same.
“Let the flames of resistance spread across Tamil Nadu,” Stalin said, accusing the BJP of trying to marginalise the state through redrawn boundaries. “Let the arrogance of the fascist BJP be brought down
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Italy will not renew its defence agreement with Israel, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has said.
Meloni said her government had decided to suspend the renewal, which happens every five years, "in view of the current situation", without offering specifics.
Relations between Rome and Tel Aviv, which have historically been solid, have recently soured.
Last week, Italy summoned the Israeli ambassador to Rome after warning shots were fired by Israeli forces at a convoy of Italian UN peacekeepers in Lebanon, damaging one vehicle but causing no injuries.
On Monday, Israel in turn summoned Italy's ambassador to protest comments by Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, who had condemned Israel's "unacceptable attacks" on civilians in Lebanon.
Defence ministry officials told the BBC they were still examining how the government's position would translate into concrete legal and practical consequences on the framework of Italian cooperation with Israel.
Italy is the third-biggest arms exporter to Israel, according to figures from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (Sipri). But that still only accounts for 1.3% of Israeli arms imports between 2021-2025. The US and Germany are the top exporters.
Several European countries paused or restricted arms exports with Israel during its military action in Gaza.
The offensive was triggered by the Hamas-led attack on Israel on 7 October 2023, which killed about 1,200 people, while 251 others were taken to Gaza as hostages.
More than 72,330 people were then killed by Israeli military action Gaza - including 757 since the ceasefire began on 10 October 2025 - according to the territory's Hamas-run health ministry.
Over the past few years, many Italians have asked their government to do the same, with hundreds of thousands have taking to the streets or going on strike in protest.
Yet Meloni's right-wing coalition government has remained one of Israel's closest allies in Europe, refusing to join the growing number of countries recognising Palestinian statehood.
But in late March, her camp lost a referendum on a judicial constitutional reform, which many interpreted as a vote on her government's popularity - not least in terms of its relations with Israel and the US.
With only 18 months to go before the next general election, Meloni has been tweaking her rhetoric in order to distance herself from these associations, which are becoming increasingly unpopular among the Italian electorate.
Since the referendum result, she has described the US-Israeli war with Iran as part of a growing and dangerous trend of interventions "outside the scope of international law".
On Monday, she issued a rare criticism of Donald Trump, describing the US president's disparaging comments about Pope Leo XIV as "unacceptable". She later added that the pontiff had her "solidarity".
That led to a swift rebuke from Trump, who told Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera that he was "shocked at her".
I thought she had courage, but I was wrong," he said, adding Meloni "does not care whether Iran has a nuclear weapon and would blow Italy up in two minutes if it had the chance
Meloni may be hoping the first cracks in the Italy-US relationship will help her claw back votes as next year's general election approaches
At one point, Trump's evident sympathy for Meloni appeared to have earned her special recognition as a potential privileged interlocutor among EU countries, and was touted by her supporters as an asset
But now, with Trump becoming an increasingly unpopular figure, that association risks being damaging. In January, a survey showed 63% of the Italian electorate holds a negative opinion of the US
Following Trump's comments, Meloni's allies rushed to her defence. Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani said on X that Italy's alliance with the US was "built on mutual loyalty, respect, and honesty
"And on Pope Leo XIV she said exactly what all of us Italians think. The prime minister and the government defend and will always defend only and solely the interests of Italy," Tajani said.
"Being allies does not mean accepting everything in silence, but having the courage to clearly state what one believes to be right," defence minister Guido Crosetto said
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The United States naval blockade of Iran has come into effect as President Donald Trump’s administration tries to pressure Tehran into accepting its terms for an end to their war by trying to squeeze the Iranian economy.
The blockade began at 14:00 GMT on Monday. Iran’s armed forces have called it “an illegal act” that “amounts to piracy”.
Even though Iran has become accustomed to US sanctions and has continued to function during the war, a blockade like this could inflict significant damage to Iran’s economy, analysts said.
How much can this blockade hurt Iran? Here’s what we know:
Iran primarily exports oil and gas through its ports. Soon after the start of the US-Israel war on Iran on February 28, authorities in Tehran announced what amounted to a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the only waterway out of the Gulf, through which 20 percent of the world’s oil and gas supplies pass in peacetime.
The near-shutdown of the vital chokepoint sent global oil and gas prices soaring, and since then, Iran has controlled the strait: Only ships from a few countries that struck individual deals with Tehran were allowed through
But throughout that period, Iran itself continued to export its energy products through the strait.
Iran’s oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz account for about 80 percent of its total exports. According to Kpler, a trade intelligence firm, Iran exported 1.84 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil in March and has shipped 1.71 million bpd so far in April, compared with an average of 1.68 million bpd in 2025
In other words, Iranian exports through the strait actually increased in March and early April
From March 15 to April 14, it exported 55.22 million barrels of oil. The price per barrel of Iranian oil – across its three major variants, known as Iranian light, Iranian heavy and Forozan blend – has not fallen below $90 per barrel over the past month. On many days, the price has actually surpassed $100 a barrel
Even at the conservative estimate of $90 a barrel, Iran would have earned $4.97bn over the past month from oil exports
By contrast, in early February before the war started, Iran was earning about $115m a day from its crude oil exports, or $3.45bn in a month
Simply put, Iran has earned 40 percent more from oil exports in the past month than it did before the war
But now, with the US military blockading Iran’s ports and the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran’s capacity to export crude oil has been directly hit – and dramatically so, experts said
at least not at the same level,” Mohamad Elmasry, professor at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies, told Al Jazeera before referring to Tehran’s reported collection of fees from non-Iranian vessels it is allowing to pass through the strait. “The Iranians also wouldn’t be able to get tolls
Frederic Schneider, a nonresident senior fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, agreed
He told Al Jazeera that the previous six weeks had been a boon for Iran in terms of oil revenues, but with the US blockade, that will change
Iran has some buffer in the form of crude oil reserves in floating tanks, basically parked tankers, which was estimated at about 127 million barrels in February. But that doesn’t mean that the blockade wouldn’t hurt Iran.” he said.
According to the maritime intelligence agency Windward, as of Monday, total Iranian oil on the water was about 157.7 million barrels. Of this, 97.6 percent was destined for China
Windward warned that all of this oil could be impacted by the US blockade
Besides oil, the US blockade of Iranian ports could also impact Tehran’s trade of other goods.
Some key exports shipped through its ports include petrochemicals, plastics and agricultural products that primarily go to countries like China and India while major imports include industrial machinery, electronics and food, primarily sourced from China, the United Arab Emirates and Turkiye
According to a February 18 report by the Tehran Times, data released by Iran’s Customs Administration showed that the country’s total nonoil trade reached $94bn from March 21, 2025, to January 20 with imports outpacing exports, resulting in a trade deficit
The current blockade will impact Iran’s overall trade and hurt its economy, analysts said.
Schneider said that if nonhydrocarbon trade is disrupted, that will not only be a blow to revenues but also to supplies and lead to increased domestic shortages in an economy that has already been under a lot of strain from pre-war sanctions
The question will be whether this increased suffering will force Iran to concede defeat or whether it will harden its resolve and escalate the situation. But I doubt this blockade will come into full effect or last very long,” he said.
Yes. To reduce dependency on straits like the Strait of Hormuz from the Gulf and the Strait of Malacca in Southeast Asia, both of which are crucial to global trade, Iran and China have developed a railway line.
Using existing railway lines across Central Asian countries like Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, a freight train carrying commercial goods from China first arrived in Iran in February 2016. Then in May, according to Iran’s Tasnim news agency, the first freight train from Xi’an, China, arrived at the Aprin dry port in Iran, marking the official launch of a direct rail link between Iran and China
According to a report by geopolitical consulting agency SpecialEurasia, the China-Iran railway “helps mitigate the risks of naval interdiction by Western forces that hamper Iranian trade, particularly the transport of crude oil by Tehran’s so-called ‘ghost ships
“Dark ships” or “ghost ships” operate by switching off their automatic identification system to avoid detection and circumvent sanctions. Throughout the war on Iran, shipping data have detected the presence of such ships transporting oil and other goods
“Nevertheless, it is important to note that transporting hydrocarbons by rail involves considerable logistical challenges,” the SpecialEurasia report added
There is currently no credible evidence that oil has been transported by rail from Iran to China.
Schneider said that if the blockade persists, it will certainly hurt Iran’s economy. But, he added, it is also unclear how long the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz will last.
It’s very difficult to say how serious the US is about this blockade, how long it will last, how it will end and what is coming next,” he said.
“Most of the Iranian tankers are headed for China, and I cannot see China giving in to this blockade,” Schneider said. “Secondly, I don’t see the US Navy seizing or even sinking these ships.”
“So this is a very volatile situation that will quickly veer into one direction which could be a ceasefire and detente or the other which could be the escalation and the resumption of bombings and missile strikes,” he added.
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XRP Crypto slipped to $1.31 after a hard rejection at $1.35 left traders with little to show from a breakout attempt that briefly looked credible.
The 2% drop is secondary – what matters is the combination of that ceiling rejection and visibly thinning order book depth, a setup that historically precedes sharper directional moves.
The failed push came off a March 31 high of $1.37, with XRP unable to clear $1.40 resistance and grinding lower through a $1.28–$1.33 range ever since.
That recent run toward $1.35 now looks like a distribution zone rather than a launchpad, and the market cap sits at $80.6 billion with 24-hour volume at just $2.01 billion – reduced participation that confirms the liquidity problem is real. The chart now forces a binary question: does $1.28 hold, or does the next support at $1.15 come into play faster than bulls expect
XRP Crypto is trading below both its 50-day EMA ($1.38) and 200-day EMA ($1.88), with price pinned inside a descending channel on the 4-hour chart where both the 50-SMA and 200-SMA act as overhead ceiling.
Daily RSI reads 38 – weak momentum, but not yet in oversold territory, which means there’s no technical floor from that indicator alone. MACD is negative and expanding downward, removing any near-term momentum argument.
Key resistances sit at $1.3500; load-bearing supports are $1.3000 and $1.2698. The $1.28 level has held since February, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement – below it, holder support thins materially until $1.15.
The bull case requires a clean reclaim of $1.35 on volume – not a wick, a close – followed by a hold above the 50-day EMA at $1.38.
That sequence opens $1.45 and, with a catalyst, $1.60 tied to regulatory progress on the CLARITY Act, which carries a 63% probability of passing in 2026 per current prediction markets. Long-term analysts maintain structurally bullish frameworks, but those scenarios require macro conditions – FOMC dovishness, easing geopolitical tensions – that aren’t present right now.
The bear case activates on a confirmed daily close below $1.28. Analysts are flagging $1.15 as the next meaningful support, with more aggressive targets at $0.80 contingent on oil above $100 and Fed rate holds through Q2.
The uncomfortable reality is that XRP is down nearly 30% year-to-date and 64% from its $3.65 all-time high, and every bounce has been sold. The single most important level: $1.28. Hold it and the range stays intact; lose it and $1.15 becomes the next anchor.
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1293 BTC (60.01M USD) transferred from #Coinbase wallet to unknown wallet.2:20 AM1293 BTC (60.04M USD) transferred from #Coinbase wallet to unknown wallet.2:19 AM541 BTC (25.11M USD) transferred from #Bitfinex wallet to unknown wallet.2:01 AM4787 BTC (222.15M USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase wallet.1:52 AM14669 ETH (38.21M USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase wallet.1:42 AM625 BTC (28.97M USD) transferred from #Binance wallet to unknown wallet.On our newly opened page, we provide many rich services such as: BTC and Sub-Token Analysis/Agenda News That Will Affect the Market/New Token News Listed or Will Be Listed on Binance and Different Stock Exchanges/Whale Tracking. While this week's agenda was shaken by EFT and Fomo, even in the most unproductive week, we announced 2 tokens listed on Binance and a different stock exchange to our followers 24 hours ago, and our followers who saw and evaluated the news and traded made a nice profit. In addition, we informed our followers by providing accurate BTC analysis. This news. And I would like to congratulate our followers who made transactions and made profits by seeing and evaluating our analysis and thank them for trusting and following us. If you find our content useful, you can be informed and benefit from these services faster by following us. You can also help us improve our page and reach more people. Don't let the fact that our page is new scare you. I have been analyzing and trading in line with these analyzes on the Binance Exchange for a long time and I am experienced in this field. I am only providing services to users by opening a new page. Remember, if you are not there, we are 1 person short. I would like to thank everyone for their support and interest and wish them lots of success. Author:#kdmrcrypto $BTC $ETH