🔴 1. Impact of the Iran–US–Israel Conflict
This conflict does have a direct impact on crypto because:
♦️When war/tensions rise → investors move into risk-off mode (fear of risk)
♦️Crypto is now considered a risk asset (no longer a pure safe haven)
♦️As a result → many investors sell → prices drop
Real examples:
✴️Bitcoin fell after attacks and rising geopolitical tension (IDN Financials)
✴️Failed Iran–US negotiations weakened the crypto market (Liputan6)
✴️Rejected peace talks caused the crypto market to lose tens of billions of dollars (Bitcoin News)
➡️ So yes: war-related news can make the crypto market turn red.
⚖️ 2. But… the effect is not always bearish
Interestingly, crypto reacts differently depending on the situation:
✴️Rising tension → prices fall
Ceasefire or peace signals → prices can rise again
Latest examples:
✴️Crypto dropped when the conflict escalated (Barron's)
✴️But when peace talks were mentioned → Bitcoin surged (Barron's)
➡️ Meaning: the market doesn’t just react to the conflict itself, but to the direction of the conflict.
🌍 3. Other major factors (often overlooked)
When you see the crypto market completely red, it’s usually not just because of war.
Other major factors:
💰 Interest rate policy (The Fed)
📉 Global liquidity conditions
🐋 Whale & ETF movements
📊 Crypto winter (long-term market downturn)
Data:
The crypto market has already dropped ~45% from its peak since 2025 (Coinvestasi)
➡️ So even without the war, the market can still turn red.
⚡ Simple conclusion
✔️ The Iran–US–Israel conflict does shake the crypto market
❌ But it’s not the only main cause
📊 Crypto is currently influenced by:
👉geopolitics
👉global economic conditions
👉market liquidity
