$ETH is now showing some of the most extreme oversold readings in its history.
• Down roughly 70% from its all-time high.
• Trading around levels seen 4 years ago.
• Monthly RSI is more oversold than at the 2018 and 2022 bear market bottoms.
• During the last cycle, ETH eventually bottomed after an 82% drawdown from its ATH.
Sentiment around Ethereum is extremely negative right now, and historically that's often when the market starts presenting its best long-term opportunities.
Oversold conditions alone don't guarantee a bottom.
Markets can stay oversold for longer than most traders expect, especially when confidence is low and liquidity remains weak.
That said, we're reaching levels where risk-reward starts becoming much more interesting for patient investors.
• Whether ETH can establish a higher-timeframe base.
• Relative strength versus BTC and other major alts.
• Signs of sustained demand rather than short-term relief rallies.
For now, the data suggests ETH is entering a zone where long-term participants should be paying close attention.
The question is whether the final shakeout has already happened.