🎭 1 hour ago, Nine-Nine said "Leverage flip-flop script", 1 hour later, BTC shorts suddenly capitulated.
Just checked my phone, the entire market played a joke on me in 1 hour.
1 hour ago (14:41), I just finished writing about Nine-Nine, the theme was "Leverage funds flip-flopping within 2 hours" — BTC shorts ran scared 2 hours ago, then doubled down 2 hours later, SOL funding reversed deepening 1.48x, the most dramatic expression of "I don't believe it".
As a result, 1 hour later (15:44), the script flipped 180 degrees again:
❶ BTC funding flipped from -0.00001224% to +0.00000425% in 1 hour, turning from negative to positive. Translation: Leverage shorts actively closed their positions in 1 hour, "I don't believe it" turned into "I'm out first".
❷ However, ETH funding deepened by 15% (-0.00010253%, one of the deepest 4 levels), SOL funding deepened by 24% (-0.00023273%, the deepest in history!) — ETH and SOL shorts not only didn't close, but also crazily added more shorts.
❸ Price barely moved in 1 hour: BTC $62,154.90 (-0.01%) / ETH $1,610.51 (-0.23%) / BNB $588.89 (+0.02%) / SOL $64.82 (-0.09%). But the funding differentiation in 1 hour is the most dramatic since the weekend: BTC flat + ETH/SOL up, leverage funds are operating on a "BTC retreat + ETH/SOL surge" three-line strategy.
❹ BNB funding at 0% for the 8th consecutive day. The story I told a week ago about "being abandoned = being protected" continues to stabilize.
❺ FNG 12 EXTREME FEAR for the 8th consecutive day. Prices flat in 1 hour, sentiment also unchanged, "the market is immune to rebounds" = "the market is also immune to sideways movement".
I got slapped in the face 2 hours ago, slapped again 1 hour ago, now I've learned my lesson — the weekend funding script must be re-read on an hourly basis, any judgment made 30 minutes ago could be counter-trend, leverage funds themselves don’t even know the direction, why should I decide for them?
DCA 60th buy at 15:57, deducted 13 minutes later, BTC $62,154.90 = I don't care how you leverage plays out, I just follow the rhythm for deductions. The logic of 30 years of dollar-cost averaging has never been about "betting on the right script", but rather "not betting on the script".
5 controversial questions:
❶ BTC funding flipped from negative to positive in 1 hour = Leverage shorts capitulated OR just a technical closure (to avoid weekend volatility at midnight)?
❷ ETH funding deepened by 15% + SOL funding deepened by 24% = Is the showdown for mainstream coin shorts happening in ETH and SOL where they are also trapped and can only add more?
❸ SOL funding at -0.00023273% = the 4th deepest historical negative = Are SOL shorts the most stubborn OR is SOL the most shorted asset?
❹ BNB funding at 0% for 8 consecutive days = "being abandoned = being protected" OR is BNB being structurally marginalized?
❺ DCA
#60 15:57 13 minutes later deducted, BTC $62,154.90 = Rebound top OR rebound continuation?